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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

46%

YesNo

1

34%

YesNo

$2M Vol.

Named storm forms before hurricane season? card icon

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

33%

chance

Yes

No

$330K Vol.

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

4th or lower

100%

YesNo

3rd hottest

<1%

YesNo

$317K Vol.

Monthly
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$316K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

chance

Yes

No

$198K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? card icon

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$40K Vol.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? card icon

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

42%

YesNo

4.0-4.2m sq km

14%

YesNo

$29K Vol.

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? card icon

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$12K Vol.

Monthly

All

210

Temperature

184

Precipitation

1

Global

8

Tornadoes

1

Hurricanes

4

Earthquakes

8

Volcanoes

2

Pandemics

8

Global

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? card icon

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

46%

YesNo

1

34%

YesNo

$2M Vol.

Named storm forms before hurricane season? card icon

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

33%

chance

Yes

No

$330K Vol.

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record? card icon

2026 March 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

4th or lower

100%

YesNo

3rd hottest

<1%

YesNo

$317K Vol.

Monthly
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? card icon

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$316K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026? card icon

Natural Disaster in 2026?

30%

chance

Yes

No

$198K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? card icon

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$40K Vol.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? card icon

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

42%

YesNo

4.0-4.2m sq km

14%

YesNo

$29K Vol.

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? card icon

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$12K Vol.

Monthly
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