Israeli airstrikes have repeatedly targeted Iranian energy infrastructure, including multiple attacks near the Bushehr nuclear power plant and direct hits on petrochemical complexes critical to electricity generation, such as the Assaluyeh facility in the South Pars gas field, as confirmed by IAEA warnings of radiological risks from strikes four days ago. These developments, amid ongoing US-Israel military actions despite short-lived ceasefire proposals, reflect escalating retaliation over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, fostering trader consensus at 98.9% for "Yes" by April 30. While near-certain, a sustained diplomatic breakthrough or verified de-escalation could avert further strikes, though recent momentum and Israeli preparations for additional energy site assaults make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
$331,549 Vol.
$331,549 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
$331,549 Vol.
$331,549 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes have repeatedly targeted Iranian energy infrastructure, including multiple attacks near the Bushehr nuclear power plant and direct hits on petrochemical complexes critical to electricity generation, such as the Assaluyeh facility in the South Pars gas field, as confirmed by IAEA warnings of radiological risks from strikes four days ago. These developments, amid ongoing US-Israel military actions despite short-lived ceasefire proposals, reflect escalating retaliation over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, fostering trader consensus at 98.9% for "Yes" by April 30. While near-certain, a sustained diplomatic breakthrough or verified de-escalation could avert further strikes, though recent momentum and Israeli preparations for additional energy site assaults make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$331,549End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli airstrikes have repeatedly targeted Iranian energy infrastructure, including multiple attacks near the Bushehr nuclear power plant and direct hits on petrochemical complexes critical to electricity generation, such as the Assaluyeh facility in the South Pars gas field, as confirmed by IAEA warnings of radiological risks from strikes four days ago. These developments, amid ongoing US-Israel military actions despite short-lived ceasefire proposals, reflect escalating retaliation over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, fostering trader consensus at 98.9% for "Yes" by April 30. While near-certain, a sustained diplomatic breakthrough or verified de-escalation could avert further strikes, though recent momentum and Israeli preparations for additional energy site assaults make this unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel carries out a kinetic military strike against any power plant in Iran between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Israeli air, missile, or drone strikes that are intercepted, shot down, or miss their target will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$331,549End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Israeli airstrikes have repeatedly targeted Iranian energy infrastructure, including multiple attacks near the Bushehr nuclear power plant and direct hits on petrochemical complexes critical to electricity generation, such as the Assaluyeh facility in the South Pars gas field, as confirmed by IAEA warnings of radiological risks from strikes four days ago. These developments, amid ongoing US-Israel military actions despite short-lived ceasefire proposals, reflect escalating retaliation over the Strait of Hormuz blockade, fostering trader consensus at 98.9% for "Yes" by April 30. While near-certain, a sustained diplomatic breakthrough or verified de-escalation could avert further strikes, though recent momentum and Israeli preparations for additional energy site assaults make this unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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