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Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Araghchi

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

NEW
Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$476 Vol.

Polymarket

March 31

$425 Vol.

3%

April 30

$52 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abbas Araghchi continues serving as Iran's Minister of Foreign Affairs amid the intensifying 2026 war with Israel and the US, actively condemning recent Israeli airstrikes on steel plants, power stations, and civilian nuclear facilities as of March 28. He vowed a "heavy price" for these attacks—claimed by Israel to be US-coordinated—while rejecting ceasefire negotiations or talks with Washington, contradicting some US diplomatic overtures. US and Israeli forces reportedly removed Araghchi from target lists to maintain potential backchannels, signaling his value despite escalation signals. No verified reports of resignation, dismissal, or cabinet reshuffles exist, with Iranian authorities dismissing rumors; watch for Supreme Leader succession updates or regional summits that could prompt leadership shifts.

Abbas Araghchi continues serving as Iran's Minister of Foreign Affairs amid the intensifying 2026 war with Israel and the US, actively condemning recent Israeli airstrikes on steel plants, power stations, and civilian nuclear facilities as of March 28. He vowed a "heavy price" for these attacks—claimed by Israel to be US-coordinated—while rejecting ceasefire negotiations or talks with Washington, contradicting some US diplomatic overtures. US and Israeli forces reportedly removed Araghchi from target lists to maintain potential backchannels, signaling his value despite escalation signals. No verified reports of resignation, dismissal, or cabinet reshuffles exist, with Iranian authorities dismissing rumors; watch for Supreme Leader succession updates or regional summits that could prompt leadership shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abbas Araghchi continues serving as Iran's Minister of Foreign Affairs amid the intensifying 2026 war with Israel and the US, actively condemning recent Israeli airstrikes on steel plants, power stations, and civilian nuclear facilities as of March 28. He vowed a "heavy price" for these attacks—claimed by Israel to be US-coordinated—while rejecting ceasefire negotiations or talks with Washington, contradicting some US diplomatic overtures. US and Israeli forces reportedly removed Araghchi from target lists to maintain potential backchannels, signaling his value despite escalation signals. No verified reports of resignation, dismissal, or cabinet reshuffles exist, with Iranian authorities dismissing rumors; watch for Supreme Leader succession updates or regional summits that could prompt leadership shifts.

Abbas Araghchi continues serving as Iran's Minister of Foreign Affairs amid the intensifying 2026 war with Israel and the US, actively condemning recent Israeli airstrikes on steel plants, power stations, and civilian nuclear facilities as of March 28. He vowed a "heavy price" for these attacks—claimed by Israel to be US-coordinated—while rejecting ceasefire negotiations or talks with Washington, contradicting some US diplomatic overtures. US and Israeli forces reportedly removed Araghchi from target lists to maintain potential backchannels, signaling his value despite escalation signals. No verified reports of resignation, dismissal, or cabinet reshuffles exist, with Iranian authorities dismissing rumors; watch for Supreme Leader succession updates or regional summits that could prompt leadership shifts.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "April 30" at 17%, followed by "March 31" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" is "April 30" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "March 31" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.