Bank of Israel traders price a 68% chance of no change to the benchmark interest rate at 4% for the July meeting, reflecting the Monetary Committee's steady stance since January 2026 cuts amid easing inflation to 1.9% YoY in March—within the 1-3% target—balanced against persistent geopolitical risks from regional conflicts. The March 30 decision held rates citing renewed inflationary pressures and downgraded growth forecasts, while April CPI data release reinforced stability without triggering easing signals. Decrease odds at 23% stem from ceasefire optimism potentially boosting tourism and growth, ahead of the pivotal May 25 policy announcement that could shift expectations; hikes remain unlikely at 8% barring unexpected overheating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 63%
Decrease 39%
Increase 3.4%
Decrease
39%
No Change
63%
Increase
3%
No Change 63%
Decrease 39%
Increase 3.4%
Decrease
39%
No Change
63%
Increase
3%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Mar 30, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its July 6, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their July 6, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bank of Israel traders price a 68% chance of no change to the benchmark interest rate at 4% for the July meeting, reflecting the Monetary Committee's steady stance since January 2026 cuts amid easing inflation to 1.9% YoY in March—within the 1-3% target—balanced against persistent geopolitical risks from regional conflicts. The March 30 decision held rates citing renewed inflationary pressures and downgraded growth forecasts, while April CPI data release reinforced stability without triggering easing signals. Decrease odds at 23% stem from ceasefire optimism potentially boosting tourism and growth, ahead of the pivotal May 25 policy announcement that could shift expectations; hikes remain unlikely at 8% barring unexpected overheating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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