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Derivatives predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

91%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 13?

99%

$710

$296 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 12?

100%

$710

$57.8K Vol.

$57.4K today

$66.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$476K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

33

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

56%

↓ 60

$709K Vol.

$180K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

58%

↑ $7,450

$170K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

48%

BMO

$21.0K Vol.

$62.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by May 31?

78%

↑ 45

$279 Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 13?

51%

$98

$0 Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?

87%

↓ $730

$348K Vol.

$71.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 19 days

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in May 2026?

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in May 2026?

45%

↑ $85

$135K Vol.

$121K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$638K Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 12?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 12?

99%

$94

$35.4K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

79%

↑ 14,000

$49.6K Vol.

$51.2K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

What price will Bitcoin hit in May?

49%

↑ 85,000

$12M Vol.

$713K today

$4M Liq.

2

Ends in 19 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

61%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

84%

↓ $405

$39.5K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Derivatives.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Derivatives that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $18.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What price will Bitcoin hit in May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ 80,000. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Derivatives predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.