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Derivatives predictions & odds

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MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

91%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$136K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

10

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$476K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

33

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

56%

↓ 0.40

$66.7K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

48%

BMO

$21.0K Vol.

$62.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

18%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

265

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

14%

July 31

$937K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

94%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

48

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

14%

↑ 0.30

$301K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in May 2026?

56%

↓ $580

$32.8K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

90%

$21.4K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

28%

$5.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

50%

ICE

$6.4K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

KeyBank

$485K Vol.

$24.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

21%

$1.5K Vol.

$841 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.2K Vol.

$71.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

70%

$150M

$2M Vol.

$189K Liq.

47

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

180-199

$9.1K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

38%

80-99

$3.3K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Derivatives.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Derivatives that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Pump.fun airdrop by ....? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Pump.fun airdrop by ....? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 31% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Derivatives predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.