Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested Bank of Israel May 28 decision, with no change at the current 4% policy rate leading at 44.5% implied probability, followed by a decrease (32%) and increase (26.9%). This positioning reflects February's CPI rising to 2.0% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target but up from January's 1.8%—amid moderating inflation pressures offset by escalating Iran war tensions fueling upside risks, as highlighted in recent Reuters analysis. The February 23 hold and economists' uniform expectation of a March 30 pause underscore caution, while BoI forecasts of 1.7% 2026 inflation and robust growth support easing bets; geopolitical flares could tip toward hikes. Key catalysts include the imminent March decision and April CPI.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBank of Israel Decision in May?
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
No Change 49%
Decrease 33%
Increase 22.4%
Decrease
33%
No Change
45%
Increase
28%
No Change 49%
Decrease 33%
Increase 22.4%
Decrease
33%
No Change
45%
Increase
28%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a closely contested Bank of Israel May 28 decision, with no change at the current 4% policy rate leading at 44.5% implied probability, followed by a decrease (32%) and increase (26.9%). This positioning reflects February's CPI rising to 2.0% year-over-year—within the 1-3% target but up from January's 1.8%—amid moderating inflation pressures offset by escalating Iran war tensions fueling upside risks, as highlighted in recent Reuters analysis. The February 23 hold and economists' uniform expectation of a March 30 pause underscore caution, while BoI forecasts of 1.7% 2026 inflation and robust growth support easing bets; geopolitical flares could tip toward hikes. Key catalysts include the imminent March decision and April CPI.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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