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Interest Rate predictions & odds

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Bank of Canada Decision in July?

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

95%

No Change

$17.3K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

90%

Decrease

$24.1K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

Central Bank of Colombia decision in July?

64%

50+ bps increase

$407 Vol.

$708 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

44%

$39.2K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

41%

$11.0K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

53%

25 bps hike

$2.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

75%

No change

$14M Vol.

$539K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

50%

No change

$538K Vol.

$324K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

60%

No change

$8.2K Vol.

$212K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

28%

↑ 4.25%

$2M Vol.

$137K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 months

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

97%

No change

$22.4K Vol.

$41.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

78%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$63.0K Vol.

$35.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

97%

No change

$17.5K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

54%

No change

$11.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

52%

Other

$0 Vol.

$37.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

61%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$10.5K Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

43%

2.8-3.0%

$378 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

ECB rate cut in 2026?

ECB rate cut in 2026?

15%

$28.3K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K Vol.

$5.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Bank of Israel decision in August?

Bank of Israel decision in August?

47%

25 bps cut

$426 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Interest Rate.

Polymarket currently hosts 21 active markets for Interest Rate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Bank of Canada Decision in July?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $16.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ECB rate cut in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in July?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in July?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 75% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Interest Rate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.