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Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

NEW

Scottish National Party 93%

Reform UK 4.0%

Scottish Conservatives 3.5%

Scottish Liberal Democrats 2.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Scotland on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Scottish Parliament in this election.

If voting in the Scottish parliamentary election does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Welsh Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Welsh government, specifically the the Electoral Commission of Scotland (https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/).
Volume
$3,074
End Date
May 7, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 11:48 PM UTC
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NEW
Market icon

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scottish National Party 93%

Reform UK 4.0%

Scottish Conservatives 3.5%

Scottish Liberal Democrats 2.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Scottish National Party

$549 Vol.

93%

Reform UK

$311 Vol.

4%

Scottish Conservatives

$290 Vol.

3%

Scottish Liberal Democrats

$441 Vol.

2%

Scottish Labour

$381 Vol.

2%

Sovereignty Party

$445 Vol.

1%

Scottish Green Party

$273 Vol.

1%

Alba Party

$383 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$3,074
End Date
May 7, 2026
Created At
Dec 12, 2025, 11:48 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.