Trader consensus strongly favors U.S. Rep. Mike Collins at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican Senate primary, propelled by his incumbency in the 10th Congressional District, superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, and endorsements from Trump allies and state party leaders. Recent developments include Collins' campaign launch video gaining traction on social media and internal polls showing a 25-point lead over rivals. Derek Dooley (9.6%), ex-University of Georgia coach, draws support from sports enthusiasts via grassroots momentum, while state Rep. Earl Carter (4.6%) appeals to rural conservatives but trails in resources. Odds remain stable absent new polling or debates ahead of the 2026 cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMike Collins 84%
Derek Dooley 9.6%
Earl Carter 4.7%
Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%
$205,911 Vol.
$205,911 Vol.
Mike Collins
84%
Derek Dooley
10%
Earl Carter
5%
Christoph La'Flare Chapman
1%
Rick Temple
<1%
Reagan Box
<1%
Christina Loren Clement
<1%
Jonathan McColumn
<1%
Vinson Watkins
<1%
Mike Collins 84%
Derek Dooley 9.6%
Earl Carter 4.7%
Christoph La'Flare Chapman <1%
$205,911 Vol.
$205,911 Vol.
Mike Collins
84%
Derek Dooley
10%
Earl Carter
5%
Christoph La'Flare Chapman
1%
Rick Temple
<1%
Reagan Box
<1%
Christina Loren Clement
<1%
Jonathan McColumn
<1%
Vinson Watkins
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors U.S. Rep. Mike Collins at 83.5% implied probability to win Georgia's Republican Senate primary, propelled by his incumbency in the 10th Congressional District, superior fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, and endorsements from Trump allies and state party leaders. Recent developments include Collins' campaign launch video gaining traction on social media and internal polls showing a 25-point lead over rivals. Derek Dooley (9.6%), ex-University of Georgia coach, draws support from sports enthusiasts via grassroots momentum, while state Rep. Earl Carter (4.6%) appeals to rural conservatives but trails in resources. Odds remain stable absent new polling or debates ahead of the 2026 cycle.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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