Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 4-6 at 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of around 33 posts from March 27 to April 3 per XTracker data, with a dip to 19 posts through early April 3 amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss announcement on April 2 that saw shares drop despite 358,000 vehicles delivered. Lower activity on April 2-3 follows spikes like 77 posts on April 1, signaling variable engagement tied to news cycles around Tesla performance, AI updates from xAI, and political commentary. Weekend dynamics and potential SpaceX developments could swing totals, but current sentiment favors moderated volume below his monthly pace of 40+ daily posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 10%
NEW
$63,524 Vol.
NEW
$63,524 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
37%
90-114
23%
115-139
10%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 10%
NEW
$63,524 Vol.
NEW
$63,524 Vol.
Apr 6, 2026
<40
$5,219 Vol.
4%
40-64
$2,648 Vol.
27%
65-89
$893 Vol.
37%
90-114
$1,461 Vol.
23%
115-139
$2,038 Vol.
10%
140-164
$3,253 Vol.
2%
165-189
$7,127 Vol.
1%
190-214
$6,016 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$16,594 Vol.
<1%
240+
$19,054 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 4-6 at 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of around 33 posts from March 27 to April 3 per XTracker data, with a dip to 19 posts through early April 3 amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss announcement on April 2 that saw shares drop despite 358,000 vehicles delivered. Lower activity on April 2-3 follows spikes like 77 posts on April 1, signaling variable engagement tied to news cycles around Tesla performance, AI updates from xAI, and political commentary. Weekend dynamics and potential SpaceX developments could swing totals, but current sentiment favors moderated volume below his monthly pace of 40+ daily posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volume
$63,524End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 4-6 at 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of around 33 posts from March 27 to April 3 per XTracker data, with a dip to 19 posts through early April 3 amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss announcement on April 2 that saw shares drop despite 358,000 vehicles delivered. Lower activity on April 2-3 follows spikes like 77 posts on April 1, signaling variable engagement tied to news cycles around Tesla performance, AI updates from xAI, and political commentary. Weekend dynamics and potential SpaceX developments could swing totals, but current sentiment favors moderated volume below his monthly pace of 40+ daily posts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$63,524End Date
Apr 6, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posting volume for April 4-6 at 65-89 posts (36.5% implied probability), reflecting his recent daily average of around 33 posts from March 27 to April 3 per XTracker data, with a dip to 19 posts through early April 3 amid Tesla's Q1 delivery miss announcement on April 2 that saw shares drop despite 358,000 vehicles delivered. Lower activity on April 2-3 follows spikes like 77 posts on April 1, signaling variable engagement tied to news cycles around Tesla performance, AI updates from xAI, and political commentary. Weekend dynamics and potential SpaceX developments could swing totals, but current sentiment favors moderated volume below his monthly pace of 40+ daily posts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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