Market icon

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Market icon

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$44,565 Vol.

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$44,565 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices No at 94.5% for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the core legal barrier that presidential pardons cover only federal offenses, not Woods' state DUI charge from his March 27 rollover crash in Florida. Viral social media hoaxes alleging Trump urged Gov. Ron DeSantis for clemency or issued a pardon were swiftly debunked by fact-checkers, despite Trump's public sympathy for his "close friend" amid body-cam footage showing Woods mentioning a call to the president. The 15-time major champion, managing chronic back injuries and recent treatment abroad approved by a judge, faces likely plea bargain on reckless driving without federal implications, solidifying the market's heavy No lean absent unforeseen escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$44,565
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices No at 94.5% for a Trump pardon of Tiger Woods by June 30, driven by the core legal barrier that presidential pardons cover only federal offenses, not Woods' state DUI charge from his March 27 rollover crash in Florida. Viral social media hoaxes alleging Trump urged Gov. Ron DeSantis for clemency or issued a pardon were swiftly debunked by fact-checkers, despite Trump's public sympathy for his "close friend" amid body-cam footage showing Woods mentioning a call to the president. The 15-time major champion, managing chronic back injuries and recent treatment abroad approved by a judge, faces likely plea bargain on reckless driving without federal implications, solidifying the market's heavy No lean absent unforeseen escalation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$44,585
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 6% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 6¢, the market collectively assigns a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" has generated $44.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" is 6% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.