The near-certain 99.4% trader consensus on No reflects the core constitutional barrier: Tiger Woods faces Florida state misdemeanor DUI charges from his March 2026 crash, which lie outside federal pardon power. The 15-time major champion's ongoing case involves prescription records and a refused test, with no federal charges or White House signals of intervention as the June 30 deadline nears. Recent PGA Tour developments, including Woods' rehab completion and continued legal proceedings, show no momentum toward commutation. Realistic shifts remain limited to improbable late federal involvement or dropped state counts triggering broader review, though traders view these as highly unlikely given the timeline and jurisdictional limits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,304,426 Vol.
$1,304,426 Vol.
$1,304,426 Vol.
$1,304,426 Vol.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The near-certain 99.4% trader consensus on No reflects the core constitutional barrier: Tiger Woods faces Florida state misdemeanor DUI charges from his March 2026 crash, which lie outside federal pardon power. The 15-time major champion's ongoing case involves prescription records and a refused test, with no federal charges or White House signals of intervention as the June 30 deadline nears. Recent PGA Tour developments, including Woods' rehab completion and continued legal proceedings, show no momentum toward commutation. Realistic shifts remain limited to improbable late federal involvement or dropped state counts triggering broader review, though traders view these as highly unlikely given the timeline and jurisdictional limits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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