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Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner

Emiliano Grillo 45.4%

Lucas Glover 45.3%

Patrick Fishburn 45.2%

Lee Hodges 45.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Emiliano Grillo 45.4%

Lucas Glover 45.3%

Patrick Fishburn 45.2%

Lee Hodges 45.1%

Polymarket
NEW

Emiliano Grillo

$5 Vol.

45%

Lucas Glover

$5 Vol.

45%

Patrick Fishburn

$5 Vol.

45%

Lee Hodges

$5 Vol.

45%

Beau Hossler

$5 Vol.

45%

Takumi Kanaya

$5 Vol.

45%

Rafael Campos

$10 Vol.

44%

Tom Hoge

$10 Vol.

44%

Mark Hubbard

$5 Vol.

27%

Charley Hoffman

$10 Vol.

26%

Ryo Hisatsune

$149 Vol.

26%

Tommy Fleetwood

$5 Vol.

4%

Ludvig Aberg

$827 Vol.

3%

Russell Henley

$5 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$6 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$6 Vol.

3%

Si Woo Kim

$5 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$6 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$5 Vol.

3%

Rickie Fowler

$6 Vol.

2%

Maverick McNealy

$6 Vol.

2%

Daniel Berger

$6 Vol.

2%

Keith Mitchell

$144 Vol.

2%

Alexander Noren

$144 Vol.

2%

Johnny Keefer

$6 Vol.

2%

Thorbjorn Olesen

$5 Vol.

2%

Mac Meissner

$5 Vol.

2%

JT Poston

$13 Vol.

2%

Ricky Castillo

$5 Vol.

1%

Marco Penge

$5 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$5 Vol.

1%

Alex Smalley

$5 Vol.

1%

J.J. Spaun

$20 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$5 Vol.

1%

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

$5 Vol.

1%

Mackenzie Hughes

$10 Vol.

1%

Rico Hoey

$5 Vol.

1%

Billy Horschel

$10 Vol.

1%

Denny McCarthy

$20 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$5 Vol.

1%

Austin Smotherman

$225 Vol.

1%

Seamus Power

$5 Vol.

1%

Hao-Tong Li

$5 Vol.

1%

Ze-Cheng Dou

$5 Vol.

1%

Andrew Novak

$5 Vol.

1%

Zach Bauchou

$105 Vol.

1%

Stephan Jaeger

$5 Vol.

1%

Bud Cauley

$5 Vol.

1%

Tom Kim

$205 Vol.

1%

Kristoffer Reitan

$5 Vol.

1%

Patrick Rodgers

$5 Vol.

1%

Chris Kirk

$205 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$15 Vol.

1%

Jordan L. Smith

$25 Vol.

1%

Seong-Hyeon Kim

$20 Vol.

1%

Matt McCarty

$20 Vol.

1%

Henry Lebioda

$20 Vol.

1%

Nick Dunlap

$10 Vol.

1%

Pierceson Coody

$405 Vol.

1%

Ryan Gerard

$420 Vol.

1%

Chandler Blanchet

$10 Vol.

1%

Daniel Brown

$20 Vol.

1%

Austin Eckroat

$5 Vol.

1%

A.J. Ewart

$35 Vol.

1%

Chad Ramey

$5 Vol.

1%

Marcelo Rozo

$10 Vol.

1%

Adrien Saddier

$5 Vol.

1%

Webb Simpson

$10 Vol.

1%

Eric Cole

$5 Vol.

1%

Adrien Dumont De Chassart

$25 Vol.

1%

Jeffrey Kang

$5 Vol.

1%

Michael Kim

$5 Vol.

1%

Max McGreevy

$25 Vol.

1%

William Mouw

$5 Vol.

1%

John Parry

$5 Vol.

1%

Andrew Putnam

$5 Vol.

1%

David Ford

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kevin Roy

$5 Vol.

<1%

Doug Ghim

$5 Vol.

<1%

Matthias Schmid

$655 Vol.

<1%

Brandt Snedeker

$5 Vol.

<1%

Steven Fisk

$5 Vol.

<1%

Pontus Nyholm

$5 Vol.

<1%

Gordon Sargent

$5 Vol.

<1%

Garrick Higgo

$5 Vol.

<1%

Luke Clanton

$5 Vol.

<1%

Matthieu Pavon

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kyoung-Hoon Lee

$120 Vol.

<1%

David Lipsky

$5 Vol.

<1%

Peter Malnati

$5 Vol.

<1%

Isaiah Salinda

$120 Vol.

<1%

Adam Schenk

$5 Vol.

<1%

Chandler Phillips

$5 Vol.

<1%

Neal Shipley

$5 Vol.

<1%

Davis Chatfield

$5 Vol.

<1%

Brice Garnett

$5 Vol.

<1%

Christo Lamprecht

$5 Vol.

<1%

Patton Kizzire

$5 Vol.

<1%

Joe Highsmith

$5 Vol.

<1%

Kensei Hirata

$23 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus prices Emiliano Grillo, Patrick Fishburn, Lucas Glover, Lee Hodges, Beau Hossler, Takumi Kanaya, Rafael Campos, and Tom Hoge tightly around 45-46% implied probabilities for the Valero Texas Open winner at TPC San Antonio's challenging Oaks Course, signaling a wide-open field with no dominant favorite ahead of the Masters. This bunching stems from recent field finalization after Monday qualifiers on March 30, bolstering depth among mid-tier ball-strikers excelling in strokes gained: approach and scrambling—critical amid forecast winds and penal rough on the 7,452-yard par-72 layout. Established stars like Tommy Fleetwood (4%) and Ludvig Aberg (3.5%) lag due to lighter recent starts or tune-up focus, while top contenders leverage solid course history and form from Houston Open and Valspar, heightening upset potential across the 132-player roster vying for top finishes and the final Masters invitations.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$4,429
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Trader consensus prices Emiliano Grillo, Patrick Fishburn, Lucas Glover, Lee Hodges, Beau Hossler, Takumi Kanaya, Rafael Campos, and Tom Hoge tightly around 45-46% implied probabilities for the Valero Texas Open winner at TPC San Antonio's challenging Oaks Course, signaling a wide-open field with no dominant favorite ahead of the Masters. This bunching stems from recent field finalization after Monday qualifiers on March 30, bolstering depth among mid-tier ball-strikers excelling in strokes gained: approach and scrambling—critical amid forecast winds and penal rough on the 7,452-yard par-72 layout. Established stars like Tommy Fleetwood (4%) and Ludvig Aberg (3.5%) lag due to lighter recent starts or tune-up focus, while top contenders leverage solid course history and form from Houston Open and Valspar, heightening upset potential across the 132-player roster vying for top finishes and the final Masters invitations.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$4,429
End Date
Apr 5, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 30, 2026, 12:05 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Valero Texas Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valero Texas Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Valero Texas Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 11, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Related

Market icon

Will Rafael Campos finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

50%
Market icon

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

59%
Market icon

Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

59%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 100+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Emiliano Grillo" at 45%, followed by "Lucas Glover" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner," browse the 100+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" is "Emiliano Grillo" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lucas Glover" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: Valero Texas Open Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.