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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Robert Golob 71%

Janez Janša 20%

Anže Logar 2.7%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$1,607,592 Vol.

Robert Golob 71%

Janez Janša 20%

Anže Logar 2.7%

Vladimir Prebilič <1%

Polymarket

$1,607,592 Vol.

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Robert Golob

$457,435 Vol.

71%

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Janez Janša

$512,631 Vol.

20%

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Anže Logar

$511,298 Vol.

3%

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Vladimir Prebilič

$126,228 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob leads trader consensus for next Prime Minister after his Freedom Movement secured 29 seats in the March 22 parliamentary elections, edging Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The hung parliament necessitates coalition negotiations, with Golob launching talks on March 27 with all parties except SDS to form a broad government amid economic pressures like energy instability. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged swift discussions post-election, while Janša's irregularity complaints were dismissed. Anže Logar’s Democrats (6 seats) emerge as potential kingmakers, explaining their minor share, as fragmented blocs fall short of the 46-seat majority.

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob leads trader consensus for next Prime Minister after his Freedom Movement secured 29 seats in the March 22 parliamentary elections, edging Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The hung parliament necessitates coalition negotiations, with Golob launching talks on March 27 with all parties except SDS to form a broad government amid economic pressures like energy instability. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged swift discussions post-election, while Janša's irregularity complaints were dismissed. Anže Logar’s Democrats (6 seats) emerge as potential kingmakers, explaining their minor share, as fragmented blocs fall short of the 46-seat majority.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob leads trader consensus for next Prime Minister after his Freedom Movement secured 29 seats in the March 22 parliamentary elections, edging Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The hung parliament necessitates coalition negotiations, with Golob launching talks on March 27 with all parties except SDS to form a broad government amid economic pressures like energy instability. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged swift discussions post-election, while Janša's irregularity complaints were dismissed. Anže Logar’s Democrats (6 seats) emerge as potential kingmakers, explaining their minor share, as fragmented blocs fall short of the 46-seat majority.

Incumbent Prime Minister Robert Golob leads trader consensus for next Prime Minister after his Freedom Movement secured 29 seats in the March 22 parliamentary elections, edging Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party at 28 seats in Slovenia's 90-seat National Assembly under proportional representation. The hung parliament necessitates coalition negotiations, with Golob launching talks on March 27 with all parties except SDS to form a broad government amid economic pressures like energy instability. President Nataša Pirc Musar urged swift discussions post-election, while Janša's irregularity complaints were dismissed. Anže Logar’s Democrats (6 seats) emerge as potential kingmakers, explaining their minor share, as fragmented blocs fall short of the 46-seat majority.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Robert Golob" at 71%, followed by "Janez Janša" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Robert Golob" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Janez Janša" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.