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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$41,212 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$41,212
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Beware of external links.

Market icon

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$41,212 Vol.

Polymarket

4.0%

$1,335 Vol.

70%

3.9%

$972 Vol.

55%

3.8%

$352 Vol.

59%

3.7%

$18 Vol.

52%

3.6%

$115 Vol.

51%

3.5%

$330 Vol.

25%

3.0%

$16 Vol.

16%

2.0%

$136 Vol.

9%

1.0%

$37,939 Vol.

5%

Beware of external links.