Polymarket traders price Tesla (TSLA) week-ending March 30, 2025, closing price with 50% implied probabilities across the $350-$395 range, reflecting closely contested sentiment for 40-60% upside from the current ~$250 share price amid high volatility. Q3 earnings delivered revenue of $25.2 billion and EPS of $72 cents, beating estimates despite 7% automotive revenue decline from pricing pressures in China and softening EV demand, bolstered by energy storage growth and Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 advancements. Key differentiators include upcoming Cybercab robotaxi unveiling on October 10, Q4 results in January, and regulatory progress on autonomy, which could catalyze re-rating versus persistent margin compression and competition from BYD. Consensus analyst targets hover near $250, underscoring crowd wisdom's bullish divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated>$395 99%
<$350 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
<$350
50%
$350-$355
50%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
50%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
49%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
$385-$390
50%
$390-$395
50%
>$395
99%
>$395 99%
<$350 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
<$350
50%
$350-$355
50%
$355-$360
49%
$360-$365
50%
$365-$370
50%
$370-$375
49%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
$385-$390
50%
$390-$395
50%
>$395
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Tesla (TSLA) week-ending March 30, 2025, closing price with 50% implied probabilities across the $350-$395 range, reflecting closely contested sentiment for 40-60% upside from the current ~$250 share price amid high volatility. Q3 earnings delivered revenue of $25.2 billion and EPS of $72 cents, beating estimates despite 7% automotive revenue decline from pricing pressures in China and softening EV demand, bolstered by energy storage growth and Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 advancements. Key differentiators include upcoming Cybercab robotaxi unveiling on October 10, Q4 results in January, and regulatory progress on autonomy, which could catalyze re-rating versus persistent margin compression and competition from BYD. Consensus analyst targets hover near $250, underscoring crowd wisdom's bullish divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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