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Jobs predictions & odds

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April Unemployment Rate

April Unemployment Rate

42%

4.3%

$59.7K Vol.

$32.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many jobs added in April?

How many jobs added in April?

29%

50k – 100k

$12.6K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

79%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

39%

5.0%

$378K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

13

Ends in 8 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

47%

December 31, 2027

$473K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

33

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

11%

$6.2K Vol.

$926 Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

19%

May 31

$132K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

10

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit in May 2026?

89%

↑ $288

$44.2K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

13.6 million

+ 3 more

$467 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

32%

60-79

$500 Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

61%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.8K Vol.

$730 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 6?

6%

$99

$30.7K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in about 4 hours

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

34%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$2.9K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

29%

$4.5K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

27%

60-79

$3.0K Vol.

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?

83%

↑ $405

$74.7K Vol.

$49.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

52%

100-119

$23.9K Vol.

$361K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

55%

↓ 38

$8.6K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of May 4 2026?

71%

↑ $288

$12.5K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Jobs.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Jobs that lets you track or trade on predictions like “April Unemployment Rate”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Major US official out by May 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 79% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jobs predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.