Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing with roughly 40 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest after incumbent Robin Kelly retired to pursue a Senate bid. The heavily Democratic district, with a partisan voting index around D+18, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and fundraising. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major scandals could theoretically alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
97%
Michael Noack (R)
1%
$33,691 Vol.
$33,691 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Donna Miller (D)
$14,437 Vol.
97%
Michael Noack (R)
$19,254 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing with roughly 40 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest after incumbent Robin Kelly retired to pursue a Senate bid. The heavily Democratic district, with a partisan voting index around D+18, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and fundraising. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major scandals could theoretically alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,691End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing with roughly 40 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest after incumbent Robin Kelly retired to pursue a Senate bid. The heavily Democratic district, with a partisan voting index around D+18, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and fundraising. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major scandals could theoretically alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,691End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing with roughly 40 percent of the vote in an open-seat contest after incumbent Robin Kelly retired to pursue a Senate bid. The heavily Democratic district, with a partisan voting index around D+18, has delivered consistent large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Noack, a truck driver who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural barriers including limited name recognition and fundraising. Market pricing reflects trader consensus on these fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major scandals could theoretically alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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