Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, evidenced by its consistent partisan voting patterns and the incumbent Democrat’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against limited Republican challengers and intra-party opponents. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability of victory in the November general election. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and historical results have kept Republican prospects minimal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$2,216 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$5,711 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, evidenced by its consistent partisan voting patterns and the incumbent Democrat’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against limited Republican challengers and intra-party opponents. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability of victory in the November general election. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and historical results have kept Republican prospects minimal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,927Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, evidenced by its consistent partisan voting patterns and the incumbent Democrat’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against limited Republican challengers and intra-party opponents. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability of victory in the November general election. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and historical results have kept Republican prospects minimal.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,927Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, evidenced by its consistent partisan voting patterns and the incumbent Democrat’s 65 percent margin in 2024. Long-serving Representative Adam Smith faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4, 2026, against limited Republican challengers and intra-party opponents. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding implied probability of victory in the November general election. A major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though the district’s structural advantages and historical results have kept Republican prospects minimal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes