Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, anchors the Democratic position ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican fundraising and no polling evidence of viable challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusual primary outcome that advances a Republican into the general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
WA -09 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,009 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$6,381 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, anchors the Democratic position ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican fundraising and no polling evidence of viable challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusual primary outcome that advances a Republican into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$9,390समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, anchors the Democratic position ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican fundraising and no polling evidence of viable challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusual primary outcome that advances a Republican into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$9,390समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for the party in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Adam Smith, first elected in 1996 and re-elected with roughly two-thirds of the vote in 2024, anchors the Democratic position ahead of the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic, citing limited Republican fundraising and no polling evidence of viable challengers. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic aligns with these structural factors. A shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a health-related withdrawal, or an unusual primary outcome that advances a Republican into the general election.
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