Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997, anchors the Democratic Party’s commanding position in Washington’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent elections underpin race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican challengers and the August 4 top-two primary against fellow Democrats have produced no credible threat ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage. An unforeseen primary spoiler or national wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
WA-09 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$2,216 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$5,711 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997, anchors the Democratic Party’s commanding position in Washington’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent elections underpin race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican challengers and the August 4 top-two primary against fellow Democrats have produced no credible threat ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage. An unforeseen primary spoiler or national wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$7,927Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997, anchors the Democratic Party’s commanding position in Washington’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent elections underpin race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican challengers and the August 4 top-two primary against fellow Democrats have produced no credible threat ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage. An unforeseen primary spoiler or national wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,927Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith, first elected in 1997, anchors the Democratic Party’s commanding position in Washington’s 9th congressional district. The seat’s D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent elections underpin race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican challengers and the August 4 top-two primary against fellow Democrats have produced no credible threat ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic odds aligns with this structural advantage. An unforeseen primary spoiler or national wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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