Washington state's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for incumbent Representative Adam Smith across multiple cycles. Smith's nearly three-decade tenure and substantial fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Republican challengers, including Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, filed after the May 8 deadline but show limited name recognition and resources. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a significant national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could alter dynamics before November, current structural factors underpin the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$2,216 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$5,711 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for incumbent Representative Adam Smith across multiple cycles. Smith's nearly three-decade tenure and substantial fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Republican challengers, including Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, filed after the May 8 deadline but show limited name recognition and resources. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a significant national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could alter dynamics before November, current structural factors underpin the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$7,927Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for incumbent Representative Adam Smith across multiple cycles. Smith's nearly three-decade tenure and substantial fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Republican challengers, including Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, filed after the May 8 deadline but show limited name recognition and resources. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a significant national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could alter dynamics before November, current structural factors underpin the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,927Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington state's 9th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for incumbent Representative Adam Smith across multiple cycles. Smith's nearly three-decade tenure and substantial fundraising advantage have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold heading into the August 4 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Republican challengers, including Douglas Michael Basler, Janis Clark, and C. Mark Greene, filed after the May 8 deadline but show limited name recognition and resources. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a significant national political shift or unexpected primary outcome could alter dynamics before November, current structural factors underpin the 92.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы