Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election. The suburban Chicago district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the district's structural factors limit realistic paths for a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,871 交易量
$27,871 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
3%
$27,871 交易量
$27,871 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$10,347 交易量
93%
共和党
$17,523 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election. The suburban Chicago district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the district's structural factors limit realistic paths for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election. The suburban Chicago district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the district's structural factors limit realistic paths for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in Illinois's 6th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election. The suburban Chicago district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+3 Partisan Voter Index and prior election margins, combined with Casten's established incumbency advantage and fundraising edge, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic. Late developments such as national political shifts, turnout surges in Republican-leaning areas, or unexpected campaign events could narrow the gap, though the district's structural factors limit realistic paths for a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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