Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination for Arizona's 3rd congressional district without primary opposition on July 21, 2026, following her 2024 general election victory with nearly 71 percent of the vote in the majority-Latino district centered in western Phoenix. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established partisan lean and limited Republican primary activity that produced no competitive challenger. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Ansari's strong position. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate health developments, or late revelations in the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAZ-03 House Election Winner
AZ-03 House Election Winner
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yassamin Ansari (D)
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$52,732 Vol.
$52,732 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Yassamin Ansari (D)
$32,813 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$19,919 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination for Arizona's 3rd congressional district without primary opposition on July 21, 2026, following her 2024 general election victory with nearly 71 percent of the vote in the majority-Latino district centered in western Phoenix. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established partisan lean and limited Republican primary activity that produced no competitive challenger. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Ansari's strong position. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate health developments, or late revelations in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$52,732End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination for Arizona's 3rd congressional district without primary opposition on July 21, 2026, following her 2024 general election victory with nearly 71 percent of the vote in the majority-Latino district centered in western Phoenix. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established partisan lean and limited Republican primary activity that produced no competitive challenger. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Ansari's strong position. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate health developments, or late revelations in the final weeks before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,732End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari secured the Democratic nomination for Arizona's 3rd congressional district without primary opposition on July 21, 2026, following her 2024 general election victory with nearly 71 percent of the vote in the majority-Latino district centered in western Phoenix. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's established partisan lean and limited Republican primary activity that produced no competitive challenger. This positioning underpins trader consensus around Ansari's strong position. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate health developments, or late revelations in the final weeks before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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