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icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Zach Dembo 100.0%

Jimmy Ausbrooks <1%

David Kloiber <1%

Cherlynn Stevenson <1%

Polymarket

$12,204 Vol.

Zach Dembo 100.0%

Jimmy Ausbrooks <1%

David Kloiber <1%

Cherlynn Stevenson <1%

Polymarket

$12,204 Vol.

Jimmy Ausbrooks

$486 Vol.

No

Zach Dembo

$4,202 Vol.

Yes

David Kloiber

$1,954 Vol.

No

Cherlynn Stevenson

$2,646 Vol.

No

Harvey Carroll

$1,481 Vol.

No

Corey Edwards

$670 Vol.

No

Erin Petrey

$765 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Zach Dembo has secured overwhelming trader consensus in the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Democratic primary due to his extensive public service background as a Navy JAG officer and former federal prosecutor, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from figures including former U.S. Representative Ben Chandler, Lexington Mayor Jim Gray, and veterans' groups. The May 19 primary date and limited opposition from candidates such as Cherlynn Stevenson and Jimmy Ausbrooks further reinforced his position, with early debates and polling trends highlighting his edge among central Kentucky voters. While the primary outcome appears settled, any delays in official certification or unexpected vote-count challenges could still affect final resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,204
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Zach Dembo has secured overwhelming trader consensus in the Kentucky 6th Congressional District Democratic primary due to his extensive public service background as a Navy JAG officer and former federal prosecutor, combined with strong fundraising and endorsements from figures including former U.S. Representative Ben Chandler, Lexington Mayor Jim Gray, and veterans' groups. The May 19 primary date and limited opposition from candidates such as Cherlynn Stevenson and Jimmy Ausbrooks further reinforced his position, with early debates and polling trends highlighting his edge among central Kentucky voters. While the primary outcome appears settled, any delays in official certification or unexpected vote-count challenges could still affect final resolution timing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,204
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zach Dembo" at 100%, followed by "Jimmy Ausbrooks" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $12.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Zach Dembo" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jimmy Ausbrooks" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KY-06 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.