Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the California 44th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic tilt with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, raising over $670,000 compared to challenger Genevieve Angel's roughly $13,000. The district's voter registration and historical voting patterns in South Los Angeles and surrounding areas further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low turnout in the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCA-44 House Election Winner
CA-44 House Election Winner
$46,791 Vol.
$46,791 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nanette Barragán (D)
97%
Genevieve Angel (R)
2%
$46,791 Vol.
$46,791 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Nanette Barragán (D)
$21,730 Vol.
97%
Genevieve Angel (R)
$25,061 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the California 44th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic tilt with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, raising over $670,000 compared to challenger Genevieve Angel's roughly $13,000. The district's voter registration and historical voting patterns in South Los Angeles and surrounding areas further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low turnout in the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$46,791End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the California 44th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic tilt with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, raising over $670,000 compared to challenger Genevieve Angel's roughly $13,000. The district's voter registration and historical voting patterns in South Los Angeles and surrounding areas further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low turnout in the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,791End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán holds a commanding lead in the California 44th congressional district race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic tilt with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and consistent ratings as Solid Democratic from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report. Barragán advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge, raising over $670,000 compared to challenger Genevieve Angel's roughly $13,000. The district's voter registration and historical voting patterns in South Los Angeles and surrounding areas further reinforce trader consensus on the outcome. Potential shifts remain possible through unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events affecting either candidate, or unusually low turnout in the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged in recent months.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions