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Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner

Perry Johnson 38%

John James 34%

Anthony Hudson 6.3%

Aric Nesbitt 6.3%

Polymarket

$23,501 Vol.

Perry Johnson 38%

John James 34%

Anthony Hudson 6.3%

Aric Nesbitt 6.3%

Polymarket

$23,501 Vol.

Perry Johnson

$10,203 Vol.

41%

John James

$7,236 Vol.

46%

Anthony Hudson

$0 Vol.

6%

Aric Nesbitt

$1,213 Vol.

6%

Joyce Gipson

$0 Vol.

6%

Mike Cox

$2,428 Vol.

3%

Karla Wagner

$0 Vol.

2%

Evan Space

$733 Vol.

2%

Tom Leonard

$0 Vol.

1%

Ralph Rebandt

$881 Vol.

1%

William Null

$807 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary, trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 46% implied probability over self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 40.5%, mirroring recent polls depicting a dead heat driven by Johnson's $10 million ad blitz that has eroded James's earlier lead. James benefits from strong fundraising, congressional name recognition, and broader establishment appeal, while Johnson gains traction among MAGA voters via straw poll wins like Saginaw County and attacks portraying James as low-energy and debate-averse. The March 28 Michigan GOP convention issued no gubernatorial endorsement, leaving the field open. Separation could arise from upcoming debates, high-profile endorsements such as from former President Trump, fresh polls, or FEC fundraising reports before the August primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,501
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the Michigan Republican gubernatorial primary, trader consensus favors U.S. Rep. John James at 46% implied probability over self-funded businessman Perry Johnson at 40.5%, mirroring recent polls depicting a dead heat driven by Johnson's $10 million ad blitz that has eroded James's earlier lead. James benefits from strong fundraising, congressional name recognition, and broader establishment appeal, while Johnson gains traction among MAGA voters via straw poll wins like Saginaw County and attacks portraying James as low-energy and debate-averse. The March 28 Michigan GOP convention issued no gubernatorial endorsement, leaving the field open. Separation could arise from upcoming debates, high-profile endorsements such as from former President Trump, fresh polls, or FEC fundraising reports before the August primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,501
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "John James" at 46%, followed by "Perry Johnson" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $23.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "John James" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Perry Johnson" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.