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icon for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner

Ty Masterson 73%

Philip Sarnecki 14.3%

Vicki Schmidt 3.0%

Scott Schwab <1%

Polymarket

$68,034 Vol.

Ty Masterson 73%

Philip Sarnecki 14.3%

Vicki Schmidt 3.0%

Scott Schwab <1%

Polymarket

$68,034 Vol.

Ty Masterson

$26,806 Vol.

73%

Philip Sarnecki

$6,520 Vol.

14%

Vicki Schmidt

$1,955 Vol.

3%

Scott Schwab

$2,177 Vol.

1%

Joy Eakins

$1,607 Vol.

<1%

Charlotte O’Hara

$1,880 Vol.

<1%

Jeff Colyer

$25,912 Vol.

<1%

Stacy Rogers

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ty Masterson holds a dominant position in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, backed by institutional advantages including his role as Senate president and endorsements from President Donald Trump in late May plus the Kansans for Life PAC in early June. These factors have consolidated support among party voters in a crowded seven-candidate field that includes state officials like Vicki Schmidt and Scott Schwab, along with business-oriented challengers such as Stacy Rogers and Philip Sarnecki. The June 1 filing deadline confirmed the slate, but no other contender has matched Masterson’s organizational reach or national alignment. Recent debates have highlighted the gap, leaving the primary outcome heavily influenced by Masterson’s early consolidation of key Republican constituencies ahead of advance voting in July.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$68,034
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Ty Masterson holds a dominant position in the August 4 Republican primary for Kansas governor, backed by institutional advantages including his role as Senate president and endorsements from President Donald Trump in late May plus the Kansans for Life PAC in early June. These factors have consolidated support among party voters in a crowded seven-candidate field that includes state officials like Vicki Schmidt and Scott Schwab, along with business-oriented challengers such as Stacy Rogers and Philip Sarnecki. The June 1 filing deadline confirmed the slate, but no other contender has matched Masterson’s organizational reach or national alignment. Recent debates have highlighted the gap, leaving the primary outcome heavily influenced by Masterson’s early consolidation of key Republican constituencies ahead of advance voting in July.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$68,034
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ty Masterson" at 73%, followed by "Philip Sarnecki" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $68K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Ty Masterson" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Philip Sarnecki" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.