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Politics·Primaries

WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner

$61,715 Vol.

Polymarket

$61,715 Vol.

icon for Emily Berge

Emily Berge

$12,142 Vol.

No

icon for Rebecca Cooke

Rebecca Cooke

$49,573 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Cooke holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her strong fundraising advantage, name recognition as the 2024 nominee who narrowly lost to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, and endorsements from U.S. Senators Tammy Baldwin and Bernie Sanders, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, EMILY's List, and local unions. Her opponent, former Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge, ran a lower-profile insurgent campaign with more limited resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural edges in a district viewed as competitive for the general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or official certification delays could still alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$61,715
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Cooke holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her strong fundraising advantage, name recognition as the 2024 nominee who narrowly lost to Republican incumbent Derrick Van Orden, and endorsements from U.S. Senators Tammy Baldwin and Bernie Sanders, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, EMILY's List, and local unions. Her opponent, former Eau Claire City Council President Emily Berge, ran a lower-profile insurgent campaign with more limited resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural edges in a district viewed as competitive for the general election. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or official certification delays could still alter the outcome before final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$61,715
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rebecca Cooke" at 100%, followed by "Emily Berge" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $61.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Rebecca Cooke" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Emily Berge" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WI-03 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.