Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination for Hawaii's 1st Congressional District in the August 8, 2026 primary, reflecting strong incumbent support against state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and lesser-known challengers. Voter preferences favored Case's established record on appropriations, district-specific projects, and moderate positioning within the caucus, despite national attention on generational and ideological contrasts and polling that showed an initially competitive race with many undecided participants. Recent results, with Case capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote, have consolidated trader consensus around his nomination. Late final canvassing or formal certification could still influence timing, though they are unlikely to alter the outcome given the reported margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEd Case 100.0%
Jennifer Booker <1%
Ben Fatula <1%
Nicholas Kiswanto <1%
$95,719 Vol.
$95,719 Vol.

Jennifer Booker
No

Ben Fatula
No

Nicholas Kiswanto
No

Ed Case
Yes

Jarrett Keohokalole
No
Ed Case 100.0%
Jennifer Booker <1%
Ben Fatula <1%
Nicholas Kiswanto <1%
$95,719 Vol.
$95,719 Vol.

Jennifer Booker
No

Ben Fatula
No

Nicholas Kiswanto
No

Ed Case
Yes

Jarrett Keohokalole
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Ed Case secured the Democratic nomination for Hawaii's 1st Congressional District in the August 8, 2026 primary, reflecting strong incumbent support against state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and lesser-known challengers. Voter preferences favored Case's established record on appropriations, district-specific projects, and moderate positioning within the caucus, despite national attention on generational and ideological contrasts and polling that showed an initially competitive race with many undecided participants. Recent results, with Case capturing roughly 60 percent of the vote, have consolidated trader consensus around his nomination. Late final canvassing or formal certification could still influence timing, though they are unlikely to alter the outcome given the reported margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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