Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGary Cordery 100.0%
Ken Fujiyama <1%
Bu Laia Hill <1%
$9,055 Vol.
$9,055 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
Gary Cordery
Yes
Ken Fujiyama
No
Bu Laia Hill
No
Gary Cordery 100.0%
Ken Fujiyama <1%
Bu Laia Hill <1%
$9,055 Vol.
$9,055 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
Gary Cordery
$7,624 Vol.
Yes
Ken Fujiyama
$1,023 Vol.
No
Bu Laia Hill
$408 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Volume
$9,055End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Hawaii, scheduled to take place on August 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,055End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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