Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Name: Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Start: 2025-12-02T20:45:41.124Z
End: 2026-08-11T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Peggy Flanagan 79%

Angie Craig 18%

Melisa López Franzen 1.3%

Keith Ellison 1.3%

$28,391 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Peggy Flanagan

$3,799 Vol.

79%

Angie Craig

$4,086 Vol.

18%

Melisa López Franzen

$1,518 Vol.

Keith Ellison

$1,408 Vol.

Ilhan Omar

$5,362 Vol.

Betty McCollum

$1,326 Vol.

Melisa Hortman

$1,278 Vol.

Steve Simon

$1,633 Vol.

David Wellstone

$6,827 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Frey

$1,183 Vol.

<1%

Peggy Flanagan 79%

Angie Craig 18%

Melisa López Franzen 1.3%

Keith Ellison 1.3%

$28,391 Vol.

Aug 11, 2026

Peggy Flanagan

$3,799 Vol.

79%

Angie Craig

$4,086 Vol.

18%

Melisa López Franzen

$1,518 Vol.

Keith Ellison

$1,408 Vol.

Ilhan Omar

$5,362 Vol.

Betty McCollum

$1,326 Vol.

Melisa Hortman

$1,278 Vol.

Steve Simon

$1,633 Vol.

David Wellstone

$6,827 Vol.

<1%

Jacob Frey

$1,183 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Sen. Tina Smith's October 22 announcement that she will not seek re-election in 2026 created an open Minnesota Democratic Senate primary, elevating Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan to a dominant 79% trader consensus on Polymarket due to her statewide name recognition, legislative experience, and appeal across progressive and moderate factions. U.S. Rep. Angie Craig trails at 17%, buoyed by her successful defense of a swing district but lacking Flanagan's broader party infrastructure. Other officials like AG Keith Ellison and U.S. Reps. Ilhan Omar and Betty McCollum linger below 2% amid speculation they prioritize current roles. With no polls yet and candidate filing deadlines distant, traders price Flanagan's recruitment momentum from DNC allies and donors as the key early driver, though formal entries or endorsements could shift dynamics ahead of the August 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 25, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?

22%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

48%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Peggy Flanagan" at 79%, followed by "Angie Craig" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $28.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Peggy Flanagan" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angie Craig" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $28.4K traded on “Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 79¢ for "Peggy Flanagan" in the "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 79% chance that "Peggy Flanagan" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 79¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 21¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Aug 11, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" market has a growing discussion of 2 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

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