Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMark Lamb 41.4%
Travis Grantham 3.8%
Jay Feely 2.2%
$53,499 Vol.
$53,499 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
41%
Travis Grantham
4%
Jay Feely
2%
Mark Lamb 41.4%
Travis Grantham 3.8%
Jay Feely 2.2%
$53,499 Vol.
$53,499 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
$7,592 Vol.
41%
Travis Grantham
$2,409 Vol.
4%
Jay Feely
$43,499 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volumen
$53,499Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$53,499Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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