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Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Donavan McKinney 92.2%

Shri Thanedar 8.0%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,581,262 Vol.

Donavan McKinney 92.2%

Shri Thanedar 8.0%

Shelby Campbell <1%

Anthony Carbonaro <1%

Polymarket

$1,581,262 Vol.

icon for Donavan McKinney

Donavan McKinney

$830,076 Vol.

92%

icon for Shri Thanedar

Shri Thanedar

$745,418 Vol.

8%

icon for Shelby Campbell

Shelby Campbell

$1,831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anthony Carbonaro

Anthony Carbonaro

$2,072 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nazmul Hassan

Nazmul Hassan

$1,867 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Donavan McKinney leads the MI-13 Democratic primary market at 86.7% because partial results from the August 4 contest show him overtaking incumbent Shri Thanedar once slower-reporting Detroit precincts are counted.** McKinney, a state representative with labor and progressive backing including endorsements from figures aligned with Justice Democrats and union support, consolidated opposition to the incumbent in the heavily Democratic Detroit-area district. Thanedar, who entered Congress after a pharmaceutical career and holds establishment support, held early leads in some tallies but faces an anti-incumbent dynamic and lower name recognition in key segments. Minor candidates remain under 1% with negligible vote shares. Market pricing reflects the expectation that remaining urban ballots will secure McKinney the nomination in this solidly blue seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,581,262
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Donavan McKinney leads the MI-13 Democratic primary market at 86.7% because partial results from the August 4 contest show him overtaking incumbent Shri Thanedar once slower-reporting Detroit precincts are counted.** McKinney, a state representative with labor and progressive backing including endorsements from figures aligned with Justice Democrats and union support, consolidated opposition to the incumbent in the heavily Democratic Detroit-area district. Thanedar, who entered Congress after a pharmaceutical career and holds establishment support, held early leads in some tallies but faces an anti-incumbent dynamic and lower name recognition in key segments. Minor candidates remain under 1% with negligible vote shares. Market pricing reflects the expectation that remaining urban ballots will secure McKinney the nomination in this solidly blue seat.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,581,262
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Donavan McKinney" at 92%, followed by "Shri Thanedar" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Donavan McKinney" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shri Thanedar" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.