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icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

William Lawrence 100.0%

Bridget Brink <1%

Josh Cowen <1%

Alexandra Prieditis <1%

Polymarket

$155,928 Vol.

William Lawrence 100.0%

Bridget Brink <1%

Josh Cowen <1%

Alexandra Prieditis <1%

Polymarket

$155,928 Vol.

icon for Bridget Brink

Bridget Brink

$36,840 Vol.

No

icon for Josh Cowen

Josh Cowen

$1,377 Vol.

No

icon for William Lawrence

William Lawrence

$84,681 Vol.

Yes

icon for Alexandra Prieditis

Alexandra Prieditis

$2,264 Vol.

No

icon for Elyon Badger

Elyon Badger

$1,121 Vol.

No

icon for Matt Maasdam

Matt Maasdam

$28,562 Vol.

No

icon for Muhammad Salman Rais

Muhammad Salman Rais

$1,082 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 7th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy SEAL veteran Matt Maasdam. Official results and projections from the Associated Press, NBC News, and other outlets show Lawrence prevailing with roughly 43 percent of the vote after the two more moderate candidates split the remaining support in this battleground district. Lawrence, a Lansing-area activist and co-founder of the Sunrise Movement, drew backing from progressive organizations and emphasized housing affordability, Medicare for All, and climate priorities. The race’s rapid resolution leaves little room for reversal absent unusual post-election developments such as a successful recount challenge or certification dispute, both of which remain statistically remote given the margin and multiple independent calls. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the confirmed primary outcome ahead of the November general election against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$155,928
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 7th Congressional District in the August 4, 2026 primary, defeating former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine Bridget Brink and Navy SEAL veteran Matt Maasdam. Official results and projections from the Associated Press, NBC News, and other outlets show Lawrence prevailing with roughly 43 percent of the vote after the two more moderate candidates split the remaining support in this battleground district. Lawrence, a Lansing-area activist and co-founder of the Sunrise Movement, drew backing from progressive organizations and emphasized housing affordability, Medicare for All, and climate priorities. The race’s rapid resolution leaves little room for reversal absent unusual post-election developments such as a successful recount challenge or certification dispute, both of which remain statistically remote given the margin and multiple independent calls. Trader consensus at 100 percent reflects the confirmed primary outcome ahead of the November general election against Republican incumbent Tom Barrett.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$155,928
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "William Lawrence" at 100%, followed by "Bridget Brink" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $155.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "William Lawrence" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bridget Brink" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.