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icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 97.4%

Aisha Farooqi 3.1%

Don Ufford 1.0%

Dave Woodward <1%

Polymarket

$66,468 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 97.4%

Aisha Farooqi 3.1%

Don Ufford 1.0%

Dave Woodward <1%

Polymarket

$66,468 Vol.

icon for Jeremy Moss

Jeremy Moss

$29,757 Vol.

97%

icon for Aisha Farooqi

Aisha Farooqi

$24,341 Vol.

3%

icon for Don Ufford

Don Ufford

$6,161 Vol.

1%

icon for Dave Woodward

Dave Woodward

$934 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andy Levin

Andy Levin

$5,275 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a dominant position in the Michigan 11th congressional district Democratic primary due to his state Senate leadership role, extensive local name recognition, and recent high-profile endorsements from figures including Oakland County Executive Dave Coulter and U.S. Rep. Hillary Scholten, alongside a Detroit Free Press recommendation. Strong fundraising totals and an open seat dynamic following Rep. Haley Stevens’s Senate bid have further consolidated support among party voters ahead of the August 4 vote. Traders’ near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and limited challenger visibility. A late surge by Aisha Farooqi or another candidate would require unusually high turnout shifts or unforeseen developments on primary day to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,468
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a dominant position in the Michigan 11th congressional district Democratic primary due to his state Senate leadership role, extensive local name recognition, and recent high-profile endorsements from figures including Oakland County Executive Dave Coulter and U.S. Rep. Hillary Scholten, alongside a Detroit Free Press recommendation. Strong fundraising totals and an open seat dynamic following Rep. Haley Stevens’s Senate bid have further consolidated support among party voters ahead of the August 4 vote. Traders’ near-certainty reflects these structural advantages and limited challenger visibility. A late surge by Aisha Farooqi or another candidate would require unusually high turnout shifts or unforeseen developments on primary day to alter the outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$66,468
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 97%, followed by "Aisha Farooqi" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $66.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aisha Farooqi" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.