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icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primary Elections

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner
Elections·Primary Elections

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 100.0%

Aisha Farooqi <1%

Andy Levin <1%

Dave Woodward <1%

Polymarket

$70,113 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 100.0%

Aisha Farooqi <1%

Andy Levin <1%

Dave Woodward <1%

Polymarket

$70,113 Vol.

icon for Jeremy Moss

Jeremy Moss

$31,761 Vol.

Yes

icon for Aisha Farooqi

Aisha Farooqi

$25,983 Vol.

No

icon for Andy Levin

Andy Levin

$5,275 Vol.

No

icon for Dave Woodward

Dave Woodward

$934 Vol.

No

icon for Don Ufford

Don Ufford

$6,161 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss secured a commanding lead in the Michigan 11th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established profile as state senate speaker pro tem, prior service in the state house and Southfield city council, and strong name recognition in a solidly Democratic district vacated by Representative Haley Stevens. The August 4 primary results showed Moss capturing roughly half the vote, outpacing Aisha Farooqi and the remaining challengers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed election outcomes, with limited room for reversal absent any unresolved certification issues. Late shifts could still occur only through official recount procedures or legal challenges to ballot counts, though historical patterns in Michigan congressional primaries indicate such developments rarely alter declared winners.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,113
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss secured a commanding lead in the Michigan 11th congressional district Democratic primary due to his established profile as state senate speaker pro tem, prior service in the state house and Southfield city council, and strong name recognition in a solidly Democratic district vacated by Representative Haley Stevens. The August 4 primary results showed Moss capturing roughly half the vote, outpacing Aisha Farooqi and the remaining challengers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed election outcomes, with limited room for reversal absent any unresolved certification issues. Late shifts could still occur only through official recount procedures or legal challenges to ballot counts, though historical patterns in Michigan congressional primaries indicate such developments rarely alter declared winners.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$70,113
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 100%, followed by "Aisha Farooqi" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $70.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aisha Farooqi" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.