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Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Elections·Primaries

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 6.7%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket

$12,383 Vol.

Jeremy Moss 79%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 6.7%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket

$12,383 Vol.

Jeremy Moss

$4,267 Vol.

79%

Andy Levin

$2,648 Vol.

11%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,467 Vol.

7%

Dave Woodward

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 78.5% in the MI-11 Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens's U.S. Senate bid, bolstered by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's key endorsement, his decade-long Oakland County legislative record, and early campaign momentum as the August 4 primary approaches. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 12.5% on residual name recognition from his union-backed tenure, despite a decisive 2022 primary loss to Stevens here. Attorney Aisha Farooqi and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward trail as underdogs at 6.7% and 2.8%, respectively, in a field emphasizing suburban priorities like economic policy and local governance. No notable developments in the past 30 days sustain Moss's frontrunner status amid steady consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,383
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 78.5% in the MI-11 Democratic primary for the open seat vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens's U.S. Senate bid, bolstered by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's key endorsement, his decade-long Oakland County legislative record, and early campaign momentum as the August 4 primary approaches. Former Rep. Andy Levin holds 12.5% on residual name recognition from his union-backed tenure, despite a decisive 2022 primary loss to Stevens here. Attorney Aisha Farooqi and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward trail as underdogs at 6.7% and 2.8%, respectively, in a field emphasizing suburban priorities like economic policy and local governance. No notable developments in the past 30 days sustain Moss's frontrunner status amid steady consensus.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,383
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, followed by "Andy Levin" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jeremy Moss" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andy Levin" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.