Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega amid low turnout. The solidly Democratic Bronx district has delivered large margins for Torres in prior cycles, and forecasters rate the seat as safe for the incumbent. Sapaskis, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in the primary but has historically drawn limited support in the area. Multiple minor-party candidates, including independent Andre Easton, appear on the November 3 general-election ballot, yet Torres maintains a substantial fundraising and endorsement advantage. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition and Torres’s primary resilience, though late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-15 House Election Winner
NY-15 House Election Winner
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
<1%
$47,622 Vol.
$47,622 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Ritchie Torres (D)
$27,113 Vol.
98%
Stylo Sapaskis (R)
$20,509 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega amid low turnout. The solidly Democratic Bronx district has delivered large margins for Torres in prior cycles, and forecasters rate the seat as safe for the incumbent. Sapaskis, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in the primary but has historically drawn limited support in the area. Multiple minor-party candidates, including independent Andre Easton, appear on the November 3 general-election ballot, yet Torres maintains a substantial fundraising and endorsement advantage. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition and Torres’s primary resilience, though late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$47,622End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega amid low turnout. The solidly Democratic Bronx district has delivered large margins for Torres in prior cycles, and forecasters rate the seat as safe for the incumbent. Sapaskis, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in the primary but has historically drawn limited support in the area. Multiple minor-party candidates, including independent Andre Easton, appear on the November 3 general-election ballot, yet Torres maintains a substantial fundraising and endorsement advantage. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition and Torres’s primary resilience, though late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,622End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Ritchie Torres secured the Democratic nomination for New York’s 15th Congressional District with roughly 72 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, defeating challengers Michael Blake and Jose Vega amid low turnout. The solidly Democratic Bronx district has delivered large margins for Torres in prior cycles, and forecasters rate the seat as safe for the incumbent. Sapaskis, the Republican nominee, ran unopposed in the primary but has historically drawn limited support in the area. Multiple minor-party candidates, including independent Andre Easton, appear on the November 3 general-election ballot, yet Torres maintains a substantial fundraising and endorsement advantage. Trader consensus reflects the district’s partisan composition and Torres’s primary resilience, though late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high third-party turnout could theoretically alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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