Shontel Brown's commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the four-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 5 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing at 98.4% for Brown aligns with the district's Cleveland-area demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown's commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the four-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 5 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing at 98.4% for Brown aligns with the district's Cleveland-area demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Shontel Brown's commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the four-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 5 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing at 98.4% for Brown aligns with the district's Cleveland-area demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Shontel Brown's commanding position in the Ohio 11th congressional district race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+28 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. As the four-term incumbent, she secured her party's nomination with 85.5% in the May 5 primary, while Republican nominee Mike Kirchner prevailed in a low-turnout contest. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus pricing at 98.4% for Brown aligns with the district's Cleveland-area demographics and limited Republican infrastructure. A shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or health development affecting the incumbent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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