Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, where President Biden won 80% in 2020. Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) solidified her position by winning the March primary decisively with 74% against challenger Kenny Houston, building on her 80% general election margin in 2022. Republican nominee LaShana Boast, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, trails significantly in fundraising—Brown raised over $1 million versus Boast's under $50,000—and lacks statewide name recognition. No recent polls exist, but the district's urban Cleveland demographics and history of lopsided Democratic turnout drive this commanding lead ahead of the November 5 general election. An upset would require a massive Republican wave, scandal hitting Brown, or unprecedented GOP gains in early voting and absentee ballots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, where President Biden won 80% in 2020. Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) solidified her position by winning the March primary decisively with 74% against challenger Kenny Houston, building on her 80% general election margin in 2022. Republican nominee LaShana Boast, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, trails significantly in fundraising—Brown raised over $1 million versus Boast's under $50,000—and lacks statewide name recognition. No recent polls exist, but the district's urban Cleveland demographics and history of lopsided Democratic turnout drive this commanding lead ahead of the November 5 general election. An upset would require a massive Republican wave, scandal hitting Brown, or unprecedented GOP gains in early voting and absentee ballots.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, where President Biden won 80% in 2020. Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) solidified her position by winning the March primary decisively with 74% against challenger Kenny Houston, building on her 80% general election margin in 2022. Republican nominee LaShana Boast, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, trails significantly in fundraising—Brown raised over $1 million versus Boast's under $50,000—and lacks statewide name recognition. No recent polls exist, but the district's urban Cleveland demographics and history of lopsided Democratic turnout drive this commanding lead ahead of the November 5 general election. An upset would require a massive Republican wave, scandal hitting Brown, or unprecedented GOP gains in early voting and absentee ballots.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain Ohio's 11th Congressional District, a deep-blue stronghold with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+30, where President Biden won 80% in 2020. Incumbent Rep. Shontel Brown (D) solidified her position by winning the March primary decisively with 74% against challenger Kenny Houston, building on her 80% general election margin in 2022. Republican nominee LaShana Boast, who prevailed in a low-turnout primary, trails significantly in fundraising—Brown raised over $1 million versus Boast's under $50,000—and lacks statewide name recognition. No recent polls exist, but the district's urban Cleveland demographics and history of lopsided Democratic turnout drive this commanding lead ahead of the November 5 general election. An upset would require a massive Republican wave, scandal hitting Brown, or unprecedented GOP gains in early voting and absentee ballots.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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