The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-14 House Election Winner
NY-14 House Election Winner
$41,424 ปริมาณ
$41,424 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$41,424 ปริมาณ
$41,424 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,262 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$13,162 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,424วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,424วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย