The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-14 Wahlsieger
NY-14 Wahlsieger
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
6%
$41,424 Vol.
$41,424 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$28,262 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$13,162 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$41,424Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,424Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the Bronx and Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+19, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, first elected in 2018, secured 69 percent in the 2024 general election and faces limited opposition in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Marty Dolan. Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj advances without a contested primary, yet the seat's consistent enrollment advantage and urban voter patterns have produced wide margins in recent cycles. A primary upset or unforeseen late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though historical precedent in comparable safe seats shows such shifts remain rare.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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