Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding position in the NY-14 general election as the incumbent Democrat seeking a fifth term in a district with a strong Democratic lean. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj ran unopposed in his primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's partisan voter index, prior election margins exceeding 30 points, and Ocasio-Cortez's substantial fundraising advantage. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant health event could still shift outcomes in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-14 House Election Winner
NY-14 House Election Winner
$55,230 Vol.
$55,230 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
4%
$55,230 Vol.
$55,230 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D)
$30,235 Vol.
96%
Diamant Hysenaj (R)
$24,996 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding position in the NY-14 general election as the incumbent Democrat seeking a fifth term in a district with a strong Democratic lean. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj ran unopposed in his primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's partisan voter index, prior election margins exceeding 30 points, and Ocasio-Cortez's substantial fundraising advantage. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant health event could still shift outcomes in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$55,230End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding position in the NY-14 general election as the incumbent Democrat seeking a fifth term in a district with a strong Democratic lean. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj ran unopposed in his primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's partisan voter index, prior election margins exceeding 30 points, and Ocasio-Cortez's substantial fundraising advantage. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant health event could still shift outcomes in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$55,230End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez holds a commanding position in the NY-14 general election as the incumbent Democrat seeking a fifth term in a district with a strong Democratic lean. She secured the Democratic nomination with nearly 87 percent of the primary vote in June 2026, while Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj ran unopposed in his primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic based on the district's partisan voter index, prior election margins exceeding 30 points, and Ocasio-Cortez's substantial fundraising advantage. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026. Late developments such as a major scandal or significant health event could still shift outcomes in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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