Labour’s decision to select Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as its candidate for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, following Josh Simons’ resignation, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner. The seat’s strong historical Labour support and Burnham’s high regional profile reinforce trader expectations of a comfortable victory. Reform UK’s selection of local plumber Robert Kenyon has consolidated the main opposition challenge, yet remains well behind in implied probability. Minor-party candidates trail significantly with little recent momentum. The short campaign timeline and absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities stable, with the market reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency party status and candidate recognition in this Greater Manchester constituency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMakerfield by-election Winner
Makerfield by-election Winner
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.3%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,117,760 ปริมาณ
$2,117,760 ปริมาณ
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
Rebecca Shepherd
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
Andy Burnham 74%
Robert Kenyon 25%
Rebecca Shepherd 2.3%
Simon Finkelstein <1%
$2,117,760 ปริมาณ
$2,117,760 ปริมาณ
Andy Burnham
74%
Robert Kenyon
25%
Rebecca Shepherd
2%
Simon Finkelstein
<1%
Maria Deery
<1%
John Skipworth
<1%
James Thomas Bryer
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour’s decision to select Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham as its candidate for the 18 June Makerfield by-election, following Josh Simons’ resignation, has positioned him as the clear frontrunner. The seat’s strong historical Labour support and Burnham’s high regional profile reinforce trader expectations of a comfortable victory. Reform UK’s selection of local plumber Robert Kenyon has consolidated the main opposition challenge, yet remains well behind in implied probability. Minor-party candidates trail significantly with little recent momentum. The short campaign timeline and absence of major late-breaking events have kept probabilities stable, with the market reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency party status and candidate recognition in this Greater Manchester constituency.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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