Putin's reelection to a six-year term in 2024, combined with 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits, provides a clear institutional path for him to remain in office through 2030. Recent verifiable actions, including his May 2026 state visit to Kazakhstan, meetings with Xi Jinping, and public outlining of 2026 policy priorities on security and economic tasks, demonstrate sustained authority without reported elite defections or succession planning. Traders assign only a slim implied probability to removal by the end of 2026, reflecting the absence of credible challenges from security services, legislature, or regional structures. Late-breaking health developments or major internal power shifts could theoretically alter this trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ใช่
$6,499,197 ปริมาณ
$6,499,197 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$6,499,197 ปริมาณ
$6,499,197 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Putin's reelection to a six-year term in 2024, combined with 2020 constitutional amendments resetting term limits, provides a clear institutional path for him to remain in office through 2030. Recent verifiable actions, including his May 2026 state visit to Kazakhstan, meetings with Xi Jinping, and public outlining of 2026 policy priorities on security and economic tasks, demonstrate sustained authority without reported elite defections or succession planning. Traders assign only a slim implied probability to removal by the end of 2026, reflecting the absence of credible challenges from security services, legislature, or regional structures. Late-breaking health developments or major internal power shifts could theoretically alter this trajectory, though none have materialized to date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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