Vladimir Putin's March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and subsequent May inauguration for a six-year term through 2030 solidify trader consensus at 90.5% "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Constitutional amendments reset term limits, allowing potential extension to 2036, while the Kremlin routinely dismisses persistent but unverified health rumors—such as recent coughing episodes—with Putin confirming his fitness after a November 2025 medical checkup. No official resignation announcements, elite defections, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past year amid the Ukraine conflict, reflecting his entrenched control over security forces, media, and opposition. Low-probability shifts like sudden health crises or internal coups could alter odds, but current pricing emphasizes stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ปูตินออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีรัสเซียภายในวันที่ 31 ธันวาคม 2026?
ใช่
$3,973,596 ปริมาณ
$3,973,596 ปริมาณ
ใช่
$3,973,596 ปริมาณ
$3,973,596 ปริมาณ
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Vladimir Putin's March 2024 reelection with 87% of the vote and subsequent May inauguration for a six-year term through 2030 solidify trader consensus at 90.5% "No" on his departure by December 31, 2026. Constitutional amendments reset term limits, allowing potential extension to 2036, while the Kremlin routinely dismisses persistent but unverified health rumors—such as recent coughing episodes—with Putin confirming his fitness after a November 2025 medical checkup. No official resignation announcements, elite defections, or institutional challenges have emerged in the past year amid the Ukraine conflict, reflecting his entrenched control over security forces, media, and opposition. Low-probability shifts like sudden health crises or internal coups could alter odds, but current pricing emphasizes stability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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