The United States has not conducted a nuclear explosive test since 1992, adhering to a voluntary moratorium under the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty framework, while relying on NNSA's stockpile stewardship program of simulations and subcritical experiments at Nevada National Security Site. Trump administration rhetoric, including President Trump's October 2025 statements and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's calls for resumption amid Russia and China advancements, has sparked debate, but FY2026 DOE budget lacks dedicated explosive testing funds, facing congressional hurdles. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 29 against U.S.-Russia resumption and arms control advocacy reinforce inertia. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds absent escalation or policy shift, with no scheduled hearings or announcements imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
การทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
$664,780 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
2%
30 กันยายน 2026
6%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
9%
$664,780 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$38,761 ปริมาณ
2%
30 กันยายน 2026
$5,584 ปริมาณ
6%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
$10,216 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has not conducted a nuclear explosive test since 1992, adhering to a voluntary moratorium under the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty framework, while relying on NNSA's stockpile stewardship program of simulations and subcritical experiments at Nevada National Security Site. Trump administration rhetoric, including President Trump's October 2025 statements and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's calls for resumption amid Russia and China advancements, has sparked debate, but FY2026 DOE budget lacks dedicated explosive testing funds, facing congressional hurdles. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 29 against U.S.-Russia resumption and arms control advocacy reinforce inertia. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds absent escalation or policy shift, with no scheduled hearings or announcements imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,780วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has not conducted a nuclear explosive test since 1992, adhering to a voluntary moratorium under the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty framework, while relying on NNSA's stockpile stewardship program of simulations and subcritical experiments at Nevada National Security Site. Trump administration rhetoric, including President Trump's October 2025 statements and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's calls for resumption amid Russia and China advancements, has sparked debate, but FY2026 DOE budget lacks dedicated explosive testing funds, facing congressional hurdles. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 29 against U.S.-Russia resumption and arms control advocacy reinforce inertia. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds absent escalation or policy shift, with no scheduled hearings or announcements imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,780วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has not conducted a nuclear explosive test since 1992, adhering to a voluntary moratorium under the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty framework, while relying on NNSA's stockpile stewardship program of simulations and subcritical experiments at Nevada National Security Site. Trump administration rhetoric, including President Trump's October 2025 statements and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's calls for resumption amid Russia and China advancements, has sparked debate, but FY2026 DOE budget lacks dedicated explosive testing funds, facing congressional hurdles. Recent CTBTO warnings on April 29 against U.S.-Russia resumption and arms control advocacy reinforce inertia. Trader consensus reflects low near-term odds absent escalation or policy shift, with no scheduled hearings or announcements imminent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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