The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
การทดสอบนิวเคลียร์ของสหรัฐอเมริกาโดย...?
$664,780 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
30 มิถุนายน 2026
2%
30 กันยายน 2026
6%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
9%
$664,780 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
$38,761 ปริมาณ
2%
30 กันยายน 2026
$5,584 ปริมาณ
6%
31 ธันวาคม 2026
$10,216 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,780วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,780วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United States has observed a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear weapons testing since 1992, relying instead on stockpile stewardship programs at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) for certification without live detonations. Recent trader sentiment reflects ongoing Trump administration deliberations on resumption, highlighted by Senator Jacky Rosen's April 13 visit to NNSS amid reports of internal assessments, though no test has been scheduled or conducted. Opposition from Nevada lawmakers and fiscal constraints, including canceled public NNSS tours through 2026, temper expectations, while modernization of the nuclear triad proceeds via non-explosive means. Key catalysts include potential executive orders or congressional budget votes; routine WC-135W "nuke sniffer" flights signal monitoring, not preparation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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