Recent stalled bilateral talks and multiple unfruitful 2026 phone calls between Presidents Trump and Putin have reinforced trader expectations that no in-person summit will occur before year-end, as U.S.-Russia diplomacy remains focused on unresolved Ukraine issues without scheduled face-to-face engagement. Senate passage of new energy sanctions legislation targeting Russia on August 7 further signals legislative pressure that could delay or complicate high-level meetings. Among possible venues, China leads at 19.5% due to its neutral diplomatic posture and precedent for hosting such discussions, while domestic U.S. or Russian sites carry lower implied probabilities amid ongoing tensions. Scheduled events like the NATO summit have produced only verbal commitments to future contacts rather than confirmed 2026 dates, leaving room for late shifts from breakthroughs or escalations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,491 ปริมาณ
$339,491 ปริมาณ

No meeting by December 31
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
2%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 73%
China 20%
Russia 2.5%
United States 1.7%
$339,491 ปริมาณ
$339,491 ปริมาณ

No meeting by December 31
73%

China
20%

Russia
2%

United States
2%

Other
2%

Gulf country
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stalled bilateral talks and multiple unfruitful 2026 phone calls between Presidents Trump and Putin have reinforced trader expectations that no in-person summit will occur before year-end, as U.S.-Russia diplomacy remains focused on unresolved Ukraine issues without scheduled face-to-face engagement. Senate passage of new energy sanctions legislation targeting Russia on August 7 further signals legislative pressure that could delay or complicate high-level meetings. Among possible venues, China leads at 19.5% due to its neutral diplomatic posture and precedent for hosting such discussions, while domestic U.S. or Russian sites carry lower implied probabilities amid ongoing tensions. Scheduled events like the NATO summit have produced only verbal commitments to future contacts rather than confirmed 2026 dates, leaving room for late shifts from breakthroughs or escalations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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