Amid President Trump's ongoing threats of military action against Cuba—echoing rhetoric post-US operations in Venezuela and Iran—senior officials stated on May 7, 2026, that no imminent strikes or invasion are planned, despite accelerated Pentagon contingency planning earlier in April. New US sanctions targeting Cuba's military regime and elites, announced the same day, intensify economic pressure, while Havana vows robust self-defense and rejects offered humanitarian aid. Congressional Democrats push to curb executive war powers via resolutions requiring approval for hostilities. Traders assess low near-term risk absent mobilization signals, troop deployments, or casus belli, though diplomatic breakdowns or Cuban provocations could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการดำเนินการทางทหารของสหรัฐกับคิวบาโดย...?
การดำเนินการทางทหารของสหรัฐกับคิวบาโดย...?
$3,264,679 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
37%
$3,264,679 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
37%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed country.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of the listed country counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.
Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amid President Trump's ongoing threats of military action against Cuba—echoing rhetoric post-US operations in Venezuela and Iran—senior officials stated on May 7, 2026, that no imminent strikes or invasion are planned, despite accelerated Pentagon contingency planning earlier in April. New US sanctions targeting Cuba's military regime and elites, announced the same day, intensify economic pressure, while Havana vows robust self-defense and rejects offered humanitarian aid. Congressional Democrats push to curb executive war powers via resolutions requiring approval for hostilities. Traders assess low near-term risk absent mobilization signals, troop deployments, or casus belli, though diplomatic breakdowns or Cuban provocations could shift dynamics before year-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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