Iranian authorities have imposed nationwide internet restrictions multiple times in 2026, including an 88-day near-total blackout from early January through late May tied to domestic protests and the escalation of US-Israeli military strikes. Partial connectivity was restored in late May under presidential order, though access remains limited to approved protocols and data centers with ongoing monitoring. Escalating regional tensions, including recent Iranian threats to target energy infrastructure and negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz, could prompt renewed full shutdowns to control information flow or communications. Traders assess the likelihood of another total blackout by the resolution date based on signs of renewed unrest, further strikes, or policy directives from the Supreme National Security Council and Ministry of Communications.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$222,770 ปริมาณ
August 31
7%
September 30
19%
December 31
40%
$222,770 ปริมาณ
August 31
7%
September 30
19%
December 31
40%
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have imposed nationwide internet restrictions multiple times in 2026, including an 88-day near-total blackout from early January through late May tied to domestic protests and the escalation of US-Israeli military strikes. Partial connectivity was restored in late May under presidential order, though access remains limited to approved protocols and data centers with ongoing monitoring. Escalating regional tensions, including recent Iranian threats to target energy infrastructure and negotiations over the Strait of Hormuz, could prompt renewed full shutdowns to control information flow or communications. Traders assess the likelihood of another total blackout by the resolution date based on signs of renewed unrest, further strikes, or policy directives from the Supreme National Security Council and Ministry of Communications.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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