Amid the 2026 Iran war triggered by US and Israeli strikes, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in early March, prompting the swift appointment of his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor on March 9. Mojtaba has issued statements via state media but made no public appearances, fueling intelligence reports from April 11 Reuters sources claiming severe facial and leg injuries from the strikes, rendering him potentially incapacitated or under treatment in Qom. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he remains in excellent health. Traders monitor for proof-of-life visuals, IRGC power consolidation, or ceasefire talks that could stabilize or precipitate further leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$9,344,013 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
30 เมษายน
5%
31 พฤษภาคม
13%
30 มิถุนายน
19%
31 ธันวาคม
33%
$9,344,013 ปริมาณ
30 เมษายน
$3,273,943 ปริมาณ
5%
31 พฤษภาคม
$550,752 ปริมาณ
13%
30 มิถุนายน
$484,501 ปริมาณ
19%
31 ธันวาคม
$1,803,895 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the 2026 Iran war triggered by US and Israeli strikes, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in early March, prompting the swift appointment of his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor on March 9. Mojtaba has issued statements via state media but made no public appearances, fueling intelligence reports from April 11 Reuters sources claiming severe facial and leg injuries from the strikes, rendering him potentially incapacitated or under treatment in Qom. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he remains in excellent health. Traders monitor for proof-of-life visuals, IRGC power consolidation, or ceasefire talks that could stabilize or precipitate further leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,344,013วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the 2026 Iran war triggered by US and Israeli strikes, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in early March, prompting the swift appointment of his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor on March 9. Mojtaba has issued statements via state media but made no public appearances, fueling intelligence reports from April 11 Reuters sources claiming severe facial and leg injuries from the strikes, rendering him potentially incapacitated or under treatment in Qom. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he remains in excellent health. Traders monitor for proof-of-life visuals, IRGC power consolidation, or ceasefire talks that could stabilize or precipitate further leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,344,013วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 8, 2026, 10:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the 2026 Iran war triggered by US and Israeli strikes, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in early March, prompting the swift appointment of his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, as successor on March 9. Mojtaba has issued statements via state media but made no public appearances, fueling intelligence reports from April 11 Reuters sources claiming severe facial and leg injuries from the strikes, rendering him potentially incapacitated or under treatment in Qom. Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, insist he remains in excellent health. Traders monitor for proof-of-life visuals, IRGC power consolidation, or ceasefire talks that could stabilize or precipitate further leadership shifts before any market resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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