Iran maintains firm control over Farsi Island, a small IRGC Navy outpost in the northern Persian Gulf near Bushehr province, with no verified reports of territorial shifts or foreign military action targeting the site amid the broader 2026 U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent U.S. strikes have focused on other Iranian islands closer to the Strait of Hormuz, such as Kharg, Larak, Qeshm, and Greater Tunb, alongside ballistic exchanges and shipping disruptions in the region. Tehran continues to reaffirm sovereignty over its Persian Gulf holdings through official statements and regional diplomacy, including planned talks with littoral states in Oman. Farsi Island's limited strategic profile relative to Hormuz chokepoints and its established military restrictions reduce near-term risks of control changes, though escalation in the ongoing conflict could introduce new variables before any specified resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$197,815 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
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September 30
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Farsi Island, a small IRGC Navy outpost in the northern Persian Gulf near Bushehr province, with no verified reports of territorial shifts or foreign military action targeting the site amid the broader 2026 U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent U.S. strikes have focused on other Iranian islands closer to the Strait of Hormuz, such as Kharg, Larak, Qeshm, and Greater Tunb, alongside ballistic exchanges and shipping disruptions in the region. Tehran continues to reaffirm sovereignty over its Persian Gulf holdings through official statements and regional diplomacy, including planned talks with littoral states in Oman. Farsi Island's limited strategic profile relative to Hormuz chokepoints and its established military restrictions reduce near-term risks of control changes, though escalation in the ongoing conflict could introduce new variables before any specified resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,815วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Iran maintains firm control over Farsi Island, a small IRGC Navy outpost in the northern Persian Gulf near Bushehr province, with no verified reports of territorial shifts or foreign military action targeting the site amid the broader 2026 U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent U.S. strikes have focused on other Iranian islands closer to the Strait of Hormuz, such as Kharg, Larak, Qeshm, and Greater Tunb, alongside ballistic exchanges and shipping disruptions in the region. Tehran continues to reaffirm sovereignty over its Persian Gulf holdings through official statements and regional diplomacy, including planned talks with littoral states in Oman. Farsi Island's limited strategic profile relative to Hormuz chokepoints and its established military restrictions reduce near-term risks of control changes, though escalation in the ongoing conflict could introduce new variables before any specified resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$197,815วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Iran maintains firm control over Farsi Island, a small IRGC Navy outpost in the northern Persian Gulf near Bushehr province, with no verified reports of territorial shifts or foreign military action targeting the site amid the broader 2026 U.S.-Iran conflict. Recent U.S. strikes have focused on other Iranian islands closer to the Strait of Hormuz, such as Kharg, Larak, Qeshm, and Greater Tunb, alongside ballistic exchanges and shipping disruptions in the region. Tehran continues to reaffirm sovereignty over its Persian Gulf holdings through official statements and regional diplomacy, including planned talks with littoral states in Oman. Farsi Island's limited strategic profile relative to Hormuz chokepoints and its established military restrictions reduce near-term risks of control changes, though escalation in the ongoing conflict could introduce new variables before any specified resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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