Ukrainian leadership has shown continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with successful counteroffensives and long-range strikes reported in 2026. Diplomatic initiatives involving U.S. and European actors center on security guarantees and potential ceasefires, reducing visible elite fractures that historically precede power challenges. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, aligning with base rates where internal shifts remain uncommon during active hostilities absent acute leadership vacuums or economic collapse. Scheduled parliamentary sessions or peace negotiations could introduce volatility if they highlight divisions, though no such catalysts have emerged recently. Past foiled plots, such as the 2024 allegations, underscore security service vigilance without indicating broader instability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$124,604 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
7%
$124,604 ปริมาณ
December 31
$106,768 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukrainian leadership has shown continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with successful counteroffensives and long-range strikes reported in 2026. Diplomatic initiatives involving U.S. and European actors center on security guarantees and potential ceasefires, reducing visible elite fractures that historically precede power challenges. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, aligning with base rates where internal shifts remain uncommon during active hostilities absent acute leadership vacuums or economic collapse. Scheduled parliamentary sessions or peace negotiations could introduce volatility if they highlight divisions, though no such catalysts have emerged recently. Past foiled plots, such as the 2024 allegations, underscore security service vigilance without indicating broader instability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124,604วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukrainian leadership has shown continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with successful counteroffensives and long-range strikes reported in 2026. Diplomatic initiatives involving U.S. and European actors center on security guarantees and potential ceasefires, reducing visible elite fractures that historically precede power challenges. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, aligning with base rates where internal shifts remain uncommon during active hostilities absent acute leadership vacuums or economic collapse. Scheduled parliamentary sessions or peace negotiations could introduce volatility if they highlight divisions, though no such catalysts have emerged recently. Past foiled plots, such as the 2024 allegations, underscore security service vigilance without indicating broader instability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$124,604วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian leadership has shown continuity under President Zelenskyy amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, with successful counteroffensives and long-range strikes reported in 2026. Diplomatic initiatives involving U.S. and European actors center on security guarantees and potential ceasefires, reducing visible elite fractures that historically precede power challenges. Trader consensus assigns low implied probability to a widely reported coup attempt by year-end, aligning with base rates where internal shifts remain uncommon during active hostilities absent acute leadership vacuums or economic collapse. Scheduled parliamentary sessions or peace negotiations could introduce volatility if they highlight divisions, though no such catalysts have emerged recently. Past foiled plots, such as the 2024 allegations, underscore security service vigilance without indicating broader instability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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