Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of power through extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army commanders, including the recent removal of figures such as Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli from the Central Military Commission, has reinforced centralized control ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Analysts view these actions as strengthening the leader’s dominance over the military and party apparatus rather than signaling organized opposition. Recent diplomatic engagements, including Xi’s meetings with U.S. counterparts, and the absence of verified challenges further support the prevailing trader assessment of low near-term instability. While factors such as economic pressures or unexpected leadership health events could theoretically create openings, the current structure of loyalty enforcement and institutional mechanisms makes a coup attempt improbable before 2027.
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