Recent stalled negotiations following the April 2026 Islamabad talks, mediated by Pakistan, have left direct US-Iran diplomatic engagement uncertain ahead of the June 30 cutoff, supporting the strong trader consensus on no meeting by that date. Ongoing indirect exchanges via Pakistani channels, including late May proposals on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and the Strait of Hormuz, reflect persistent gaps without a confirmed follow-up venue. Pakistan's prior hosting role and continued mediation give it the clearest edge among locations, while Switzerland's history of Geneva sessions and traditional neutral sites like Oman and Qatar trail due to limited recent momentum. Structural barriers such as unresolved security demands continue to weigh on near-term prospects for any in-person round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วการประชุมทางการทูตสหรัฐฯ - อิหร่านครั้งต่อไปจะเกิดขึ้นที่ไหน?
ไม่มีการประชุมภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 67.2%
ปากีสถาน 18.6%
สวิตเซอร์แลนด์ 6.3%
โอมาน 2.6%
$8,139,636 ปริมาณ
$8,139,636 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีการประชุมภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน
67%
ปากีสถาน
19%
สวิตเซอร์แลนด์
6%
โอมาน
3%
กาตาร์
2%
อื่น ๆ
1%
สหรัฐอเมริกา
1%
รัสเซีย
<1%
ตุรกี
<1%
อิรัก
<1%
อื่น ๆ - ยุโรป
<1%
อิตาลี
<1%
อิหร่าน
<1%
อียิปต์
<1%
ออสเตรีย
<1%
สหรัฐอาหรับเอมิเรตส์
<1%
อื่น ๆ - ตะวันออกกลาง/แอฟริกาเหนือ
<1%
ซาอุดีอาระเบีย
<1%
คาซัคสถาน
<1%
ไม่มีการประชุมภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน 67.2%
ปากีสถาน 18.6%
สวิตเซอร์แลนด์ 6.3%
โอมาน 2.6%
$8,139,636 ปริมาณ
$8,139,636 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีการประชุมภายในวันที่ 30 มิถุนายน
67%
ปากีสถาน
19%
สวิตเซอร์แลนด์
6%
โอมาน
3%
กาตาร์
2%
อื่น ๆ
1%
สหรัฐอเมริกา
1%
รัสเซีย
<1%
ตุรกี
<1%
อิรัก
<1%
อื่น ๆ - ยุโรป
<1%
อิตาลี
<1%
อิหร่าน
<1%
อียิปต์
<1%
ออสเตรีย
<1%
สหรัฐอาหรับเอมิเรตส์
<1%
อื่น ๆ - ตะวันออกกลาง/แอฟริกาเหนือ
<1%
ซาอุดีอาระเบีย
<1%
คาซัคสถาน
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stalled negotiations following the April 2026 Islamabad talks, mediated by Pakistan, have left direct US-Iran diplomatic engagement uncertain ahead of the June 30 cutoff, supporting the strong trader consensus on no meeting by that date. Ongoing indirect exchanges via Pakistani channels, including late May proposals on sanctions relief, nuclear limits, and the Strait of Hormuz, reflect persistent gaps without a confirmed follow-up venue. Pakistan's prior hosting role and continued mediation give it the clearest edge among locations, while Switzerland's history of Geneva sessions and traditional neutral sites like Oman and Qatar trail due to limited recent momentum. Structural barriers such as unresolved security demands continue to weigh on near-term prospects for any in-person round.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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