Putin retains firm control over Russia’s security services, military command, and political elite, with no verified coup plots emerging despite earlier 2026 speculation tied to Ukrainian drone strikes and war setbacks. Spring reports of heightened Kremlin security measures, including drone-related precautions and scrutiny of figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite paranoia more than actionable threats, and independent assessments found little supporting evidence. Recent military reshuffles address battlefield performance without signaling fractures, while Putin’s approval ratings near 67% and ongoing suppression of dissent sustain stability. Historical precedent shows Russian leaders typically exit office through death or voluntary transition rather than internal overthrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the low likelihood of a 2026 attempt.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
$117,172 ปริมาณ
$117,172 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
$117,172 ปริมาณ
$117,172 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin retains firm control over Russia’s security services, military command, and political elite, with no verified coup plots emerging despite earlier 2026 speculation tied to Ukrainian drone strikes and war setbacks. Spring reports of heightened Kremlin security measures, including drone-related precautions and scrutiny of figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite paranoia more than actionable threats, and independent assessments found little supporting evidence. Recent military reshuffles address battlefield performance without signaling fractures, while Putin’s approval ratings near 67% and ongoing suppression of dissent sustain stability. Historical precedent shows Russian leaders typically exit office through death or voluntary transition rather than internal overthrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the low likelihood of a 2026 attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Putin retains firm control over Russia’s security services, military command, and political elite, with no verified coup plots emerging despite earlier 2026 speculation tied to Ukrainian drone strikes and war setbacks. Spring reports of heightened Kremlin security measures, including drone-related precautions and scrutiny of figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite paranoia more than actionable threats, and independent assessments found little supporting evidence. Recent military reshuffles address battlefield performance without signaling fractures, while Putin’s approval ratings near 67% and ongoing suppression of dissent sustain stability. Historical precedent shows Russian leaders typically exit office through death or voluntary transition rather than internal overthrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the low likelihood of a 2026 attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,172วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Putin retains firm control over Russia’s security services, military command, and political elite, with no verified coup plots emerging despite earlier 2026 speculation tied to Ukrainian drone strikes and war setbacks. Spring reports of heightened Kremlin security measures, including drone-related precautions and scrutiny of figures like Sergei Shoigu, reflected elite paranoia more than actionable threats, and independent assessments found little supporting evidence. Recent military reshuffles address battlefield performance without signaling fractures, while Putin’s approval ratings near 67% and ongoing suppression of dissent sustain stability. Historical precedent shows Russian leaders typically exit office through death or voluntary transition rather than internal overthrow, reinforcing trader consensus on the low likelihood of a 2026 attempt.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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