Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X drives the current market, with recent weekday averages of 35–44 tweets and lower weekend rates pointing toward totals clustering in the 380–500 range or higher for the eight-day window. Traders price 500+ at 40% because his volume has trended upward historically and can spike on business, political, or SpaceX developments, yet the tight grouping of probabilities across 380–499 bins reflects uncertainty around weekend slowdowns and any sudden quiet periods. The closely matched mid-range outcomes highlight how daily fluctuations and event-driven bursts create overlapping implied probabilities, with lower brackets discounted due to his established baseline activity. No major scheduled catalysts appear imminent for late July, leaving the resolution dependent on his typical engagement patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วElon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,039,063 ปริมาณ
$4,039,063 ปริมาณ
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$4,039,063 ปริมาณ
$4,039,063 ปริมาณ
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting cadence on X drives the current market, with recent weekday averages of 35–44 tweets and lower weekend rates pointing toward totals clustering in the 380–500 range or higher for the eight-day window. Traders price 500+ at 40% because his volume has trended upward historically and can spike on business, political, or SpaceX developments, yet the tight grouping of probabilities across 380–499 bins reflects uncertainty around weekend slowdowns and any sudden quiet periods. The closely matched mid-range outcomes highlight how daily fluctuations and event-driven bursts create overlapping implied probabilities, with lower brackets discounted due to his established baseline activity. No major scheduled catalysts appear imminent for late July, leaving the resolution dependent on his typical engagement patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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