Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and ongoing tariff effects have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 2026 meeting. Recent FOMC minutes from the April gathering highlighted concerns that core inflation remains above target and could stay elevated in the near term, while the labor market shows low average job gains but little change in unemployment. With the June meeting approaching and markets already pricing a near-certain hold there, participants see limited scope for adjustment through September absent clearer disinflation signals or labor-market weakening. This consensus reflects incoming data on prices and employment that continue to support a cautious policy stance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,088 ปริมาณ
$92,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
77%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,088 ปริมาณ
$92,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,219 ปริมาณ
2%
25 bps decrease
$21,121 ปริมาณ
7%
No change
$21,053 ปริมาณ
77%
25 bps increase
$19,008 ปริมาณ
16%
50+ bps increase
$15,687 ปริมาณ
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and ongoing tariff effects have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 2026 meeting. Recent FOMC minutes from the April gathering highlighted concerns that core inflation remains above target and could stay elevated in the near term, while the labor market shows low average job gains but little change in unemployment. With the June meeting approaching and markets already pricing a near-certain hold there, participants see limited scope for adjustment through September absent clearer disinflation signals or labor-market weakening. This consensus reflects incoming data on prices and employment that continue to support a cautious policy stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and ongoing tariff effects have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 2026 meeting. Recent FOMC minutes from the April gathering highlighted concerns that core inflation remains above target and could stay elevated in the near term, while the labor market shows low average job gains but little change in unemployment. With the June meeting approaching and markets already pricing a near-certain hold there, participants see limited scope for adjustment through September absent clearer disinflation signals or labor-market weakening. This consensus reflects incoming data on prices and employment that continue to support a cautious policy stance.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and ongoing tariff effects have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to hold the federal funds rate steady at its September 2026 meeting. Recent FOMC minutes from the April gathering highlighted concerns that core inflation remains above target and could stay elevated in the near term, while the labor market shows low average job gains but little change in unemployment. With the June meeting approaching and markets already pricing a near-certain hold there, participants see limited scope for adjustment through September absent clearer disinflation signals or labor-market weakening. This consensus reflects incoming data on prices and employment that continue to support a cautious policy stance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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