Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market featuring unemployment near 4.3%, has anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. This data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent FOMC minutes, produces the 76.5% implied probability for holding steady, while the 16% chance of a 25 basis point hike and lower odds on cuts reflect limited upside risks to prices and steady payroll gains. The upcoming May CPI release and June Summary of Economic Projections remain the next potential catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,088 ปริมาณ
$92,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
77%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 77%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$92,088 ปริมาณ
$92,088 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,219 ปริมาณ
2%
25 bps decrease
$21,121 ปริมาณ
7%
No change
$21,053 ปริมาณ
77%
25 bps increase
$19,008 ปริมาณ
16%
50+ bps increase
$15,687 ปริมาณ
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market featuring unemployment near 4.3%, has anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. This data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent FOMC minutes, produces the 76.5% implied probability for holding steady, while the 16% chance of a 25 basis point hike and lower odds on cuts reflect limited upside risks to prices and steady payroll gains. The upcoming May CPI release and June Summary of Economic Projections remain the next potential catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market featuring unemployment near 4.3%, has anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. This data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent FOMC minutes, produces the 76.5% implied probability for holding steady, while the 16% chance of a 25 basis point hike and lower odds on cuts reflect limited upside risks to prices and steady payroll gains. The upcoming May CPI release and June Summary of Economic Projections remain the next potential catalysts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, highlighted by April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price spikes, combined with a resilient labor market featuring unemployment near 4.3%, has anchored trader expectations for no federal funds rate change at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. This data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent FOMC minutes, produces the 76.5% implied probability for holding steady, while the 16% chance of a 25 basis point hike and lower odds on cuts reflect limited upside risks to prices and steady payroll gains. The upcoming May CPI release and June Summary of Economic Projections remain the next potential catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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