**Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks and energy price spikes have driven the Fed to hold its federal funds rate target at 3.5–3.75% through the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings, positioning "Other" (57.5%) and Pause–Pause–Pause (39.5%) as the leading market-implied outcomes.** Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3%, and strong productivity have supported this steady policy stance, while three dissents at the July meeting favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscore hawkish sentiment among some participants. With the September 15–16 decision as the remaining key event in the Jun-Sep window and no immediate easing signals, traders see limited scope for cuts, reflected in the minimal 0.8% odds on Pause–Pause–Cut, amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation's path toward the 2% goal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other 60%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$822,322 ปริมาณ
$822,322 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
60%
Other 60%
Pause–Pause–Pause 40%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$822,322 ปริมาณ
$822,322 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$315,179 ปริมาณ
40%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$95,276 ปริมาณ
1%
Other
$355,991 ปริมาณ
60%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks and energy price spikes have driven the Fed to hold its federal funds rate target at 3.5–3.75% through the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings, positioning "Other" (57.5%) and Pause–Pause–Pause (39.5%) as the leading market-implied outcomes.**
Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3%, and strong productivity have supported this steady policy stance, while three dissents at the July meeting favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscore hawkish sentiment among some participants. With the September 15–16 decision as the remaining key event in the Jun-Sep window and no immediate easing signals, traders see limited scope for cuts, reflected in the minimal 0.8% odds on Pause–Pause–Cut, amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation's path toward the 2% goal.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$822,322วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm**Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks and energy price spikes have driven the Fed to hold its federal funds rate target at 3.5–3.75% through the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings, positioning "Other" (57.5%) and Pause–Pause–Pause (39.5%) as the leading market-implied outcomes.**
Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3%, and strong productivity have supported this steady policy stance, while three dissents at the July meeting favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscore hawkish sentiment among some participants. With the September 15–16 decision as the remaining key event in the Jun-Sep window and no immediate easing signals, traders see limited scope for cuts, reflected in the minimal 0.8% odds on Pause–Pause–Cut, amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation's path toward the 2% goal.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$822,322วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East supply shocks and energy price spikes have driven the Fed to hold its federal funds rate target at 3.5–3.75% through the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings, positioning "Other" (57.5%) and Pause–Pause–Pause (39.5%) as the leading market-implied outcomes.** Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3%, and strong productivity have supported this steady policy stance, while three dissents at the July meeting favoring a 25-basis-point hike underscore hawkish sentiment among some participants. With the September 15–16 decision as the remaining key event in the Jun-Sep window and no immediate easing signals, traders see limited scope for cuts, reflected in the minimal 0.8% odds on Pause–Pause–Cut, amid ongoing uncertainty over inflation's path toward the 2% goal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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